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While inflation running over 9% appears to indicate that the debate over whether inflation will prove “transitory” has seemingly been won by the “not” crowd, markets are still pricing in a rapid decline in inflation. Some point to these “market-based...
Money Supply growth is falling rapidly. 2 of the last 3 months have seen a decrease in the seasonally-adjusted M2 Money Supply with the recent month dropping $17B. To combat rising prices, the Fed would need to undo most of the money it has created over the last several years. The...
Since Q1 came in at -1.6%, any negative print this Thursday will place the U.S. economy "officially" into recession. Longer-term notes and bonds are rallying with yields falling. The U.S. economy has slipped - or is slipping - into a prolonged period of economic stagflation. ...
The M2 money supply in June was lower than its May level, and M2 has only increased at a very slow 1.7% annualized rate in the past six months. Monetary liquidity is still abundant, and credit spreads (leading indicators of bankruptcies) are only moderately elevated. Years and yea...
Most people judge monetary policy in terms of the level of interest rates. Low rates are easy money and high rates are tight money. More sophisticated pundits suggest that you need to look at the expected path of interest rates over time. If one knew the exact path of interest rat...
It’s all about high inflation at the moment. The Federal Reserve is certainly focused on inflation risk and is set to raise interest rates again in July 27’s policy announcement. A key reason that inflation’s trend tends to reverse during recessions: tighter monet...
Concerns about stagflation have emerged because high inflation is widespread and growth is slowing in some markets. China's zero-COVID policy could pose a risk to the global supply chain - and inflation - if the newer variants lead to more frequent and large-scale lockdowns. If de...
Most major economies are dealing with inflation highs not seen in decades. Market expectations of peak policy rates have declined since June, likely reflecting the significant slowdown in activity as well as recent commodity price declines. Tightening financial conditions as well ...
Year-over-year Core PCE inflation has been trending downward over the last few months. PCEPI inflation, in contrast, has surged. At the moment, the FOMC wants to prevent a significant takeoff in PCEPI inflation. Jerome Powell is slamming on the brakes. But how long and how much sh...
Energy inflation could be volatile. The energy supply situation is particularly dire due to the proximity of the Ukraine crisis. Consumer prices could stay hot well into the winter — and many investors appear unprepared. By Thanos Bardas, PhD; Olumide Owolabi; &...
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2024-07-21 20:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-11 17:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. (FFIE) rose 20.9% to $0.5541 on volume of 173,316,620 shares Assure Holdings Corp. (IONM) rose 114.1% to $0.496799 on volume of 118,668,589 shares NLS Pharmaceutics Ltd. (NLSP) rose 67.6% to $0...