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The last 18 months have been the zenith of two decades of monetary madness and speculative mayhem. The IPOX SPAC index, a mix of 50 SPACs and De-SPACs (another marketing euphemism for junk), is, so far, down 32% from its 2021 peak. Following the risk-off trade, most global commodi...
Investment grade credit fundamentals remain healthy, but supply chain issues are contributing to the overarching inflationary environment, with different impacts across sectors. Across sectors, companies are responding to cost increases by raising, or attempting to raise, prices to co...
While inflation was at first believed to be transitory, it is now beginning to look persistent. Biotech stocks are close to 6.5% of the Russell 2000 Value Index benchmark, and only a few have earnings and positive cash flows. We also think the outlook is rosy for small-cap value i...
The result of the unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus has been a rapid return to unemployment rates that are higher, though only about 2%, than before the COVID pandemic. US GDP has recovered all the ground lost in 2020 and is now at a record high. Monetary policy remains highl...
The latest IHS Markit US Sector PMI revealed that six of the seven broad sectors tracked by the surveys reported higher output in November. Despite some of the supply chain problems having eased in November, the extent to which production growth had been constrained is consistent with...
As we look ahead to 2022, our base case is for positive global growth and elevated inflation in the near term. Though we see inflation moderating during the year, there are upside risks to our forecast. We believe growth assets, such as equities and credit, will tend to deliver positi...
Algorithms dominate short-term trading and use as inputs $WTI(oil prices), interest rates and the exchange rate of the US$ vs global currencies. Prices do reflect fundamentals over the long term simply because economic reality eventually is the basis of market psychology. Markets ...
Global semiconductor sales rose 24% on the year in October to $48.8B, a 1.1% increase on the prior month, according to new data from the Semiconductor Industry Association. “Global semiconductor demand remained high in October, with year-to-year sales increasing substantially...
Data on industrial production shows that chip production in Taiwan has slowed further. This confirms our view that Taiwan's capacity to produce semiconductors has reached its limit. Faster growth will only be seen when new production lines are ready to operate. For further d...
The problem with market speculation is that it starts to tempt the prudent investor into reckless behavior. What has always been prudent - owning a low-cost index fund - has now become a more speculative investment because of the degree of speculation in the market. The S&P 500 ha...
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2024-05-21 06:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-01 11:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-12 17:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...