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In US Real GDP, major government programs correlate with the highest rates of inflation while oil prices do so after inflation is apparent. In other words, investors price oil and related industries higher once they fear further inflation. The recent rise and fall of commodity pri...
Capital expenditure expectations appear to have recovered from pre-pandemic levels in most major regions and are trending upwards according to analyst estimates. For the U.S. index, the 12-month forward capital expenditures estimate is currently $885.6 billion, up 13.8% year-over-year...
Interest rates have bottomed. Inflation expectation continues to show relative performance despite recent drop in yields. Copper has broken out of a downtrend signaling global economic growth should zoom back higher. We favor value, cyclical, and energy stocks going forward. S...
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down nearly 1000 points at the low Monday and closed down 725, a loss of a little over 2%. The S&P 500 did a little better but closed down 1.5%. The markets rose through the rest of the week and ended on a high note. So, you got your chance to ...
Oil demand in the US continues to recover with jet fuel demand now being the swing factor in the pace of the recovery. Energy stocks bounced off of key supports on Tuesday/Wednesday. Bottoms tend to be messy and the recent macro rotation has been stomach churning. We need more obs...
Crude oil futures settle with a modest rebound, a day after the WTI benchmark plunged by the most in a single session since September.Yesterday's selloff, sparked by fears that rising cases of the coronavirus delta variant could damage demand for energy products, pushed oil ~7% lower and hit ...
Following the June CPI print, value and cyclicals have materially underperformed growth. Bonds have also rallied relentlessly creating havoc on the macro front. OPEC+ discord played a role in spooking generalists, but this will be resolved soon given recent news release on Saudi/U...
The Energy sector carried its momentum from the end of 2020 into 2021 and ended Q2 as the S&P 500's best performer after returning a staggering 45.61%. US oil production has been steady around 11 mbpd for most of 2021 given producers' conservative capital allocation strategies tow...
Last month, the fear was excessively high inflation but in the first week of July growth fears have come to the fore. A weaker than expected non-manufacturing PMI in the US has triggered a sharp decline in global government bond yields. The UK’s vaccination program may have...
UAE's rejection of the Saudi proposal to increase and extend oil production agreement serves notice that it intends to raise production. Our base case continues to be that OPEC+ will achieve a compromise and increase production, though there are inventories to still draw. WTI >...
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2024-05-21 06:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-01 11:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-01 21:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...