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2023-04-04 03:00:00 ET Summary The failures of two U.S. regional banks and the forced takeover of a large Swiss bank in March rattled people. The currency system, and the banking system, are ultimately based on confidence. When that trust breaks down, really bad things happen. Whe...
2023-04-04 01:27:43 ET Summary Silicon Valley Bank's failure to raise funds exhibits the growing non-marketability of existing long-dated U.S. debt. Instead of foreign institutions, U.S. institutions bear the greatest exposure to this growing effective markdown. The instabilit...
2023-04-03 05:35:00 ET Summary It's surprising to see the Financial sector with expected EPS growth for Q1 ’23 of 5.2% on expected revenue growth of 9%, especially given all the events around the banks in the last 4 weeks. While the regional banks are going to get a lot of ...
2023-04-02 03:43:00 ET Summary Bank shares plunged in the wake of the SVB meltdown, for understandable reasons, while Big Tech was off to the races, for reasons we will explore in further detail below. Stock price valuations are heavily influenced by interest rates, and a reductio...
2023-04-01 02:15:00 ET Summary As the Fed tightens monetary policy, a banking crisis is historically the first evidence that something was breaking. Historically, once the Fed opens dollar swap lines, further monetary accommodations follow from rate cuts to “quantitative ea...
2023-03-31 02:45:00 ET Summary In the event of any further stresses in banks, the U.S. government is very likely to raise the FDIC coverage limit for banks that fail. A repeat of the 2008 financial crisis is very unlikely. Regulators have made the necessary moves to keep issue...
2023-03-31 00:29:00 ET Summary Things seem to be calming down in financial markets, which could be interpreted in one of two ways. So far, I lean towards the benign interpretation — there are some areas of weakness, but not a lot of visible credit failures in the real econo...
2023-03-30 23:27:42 ET Summary The Fed lost money in the 4th quarter for the first time in 107 years. The loss was -$15.8 billion. The loss was due to the asset/liability match on the Fed's balance sheet where they hold fixed rate assets funded by variable rate liabilities. ...
2023-03-29 04:53:00 ET Summary For the week ending March 10, the top six U.S. large money center banks lost approximately 14% in market value; U.S. super-regionals lost around 26% in value; and smaller regionals lost over 30% in market value. Despite the sell-off in European bank ...
2023-03-29 02:22:00 ET Summary The Fed and the ECB hiked their interest rate targets over the past several days and have stated that more rate hikes will be needed. Gold is not the anti-dollar, as it is sometimes labelled. It is reasonable to think of gold as the anti-bank or ...
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2024-04-01 21:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-02 04:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-01-30 00:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...