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Georgia runoff results not priced into markets. 2021 "blue ripple" market drivers. Will the USD continue to fall? For further details see: Will A Blue Washington Turn Markets Green Or Red?
The current EPS estimate of $139.22 for the S&P 500 is 21.6% below the estimate of $177.60 at the start of the year, but the index gained 16.3% even though earnings collapsed. Earnings could be up more than 20% in 2021, so the market is expecting some normalization, but is that al...
This is the most difficult year in many decades to write one of these. Never before have both the macro and finance environments been so exceptional. The biggest unknown for 2021 is what happens to the giant household savings bubble. There are a very wide range of possible outcomes ba...
From a financial perspective, the stock market, as measured by the S&P 500 index, finished the year at another mind-boggling, all-time record high (+16% for the year), making 2020 a tough act to follow. Exploring the factors behind the unprecedented collapse early in the year and ...
As COVID-19 vaccines are broadly distributed, I expect the economic recovery to be far more robust and inclusive than the economic recovery coming out of the Global Financial Crisis. The S&P 500 Index may have another double-digit return in 2021, with vaccine distribution beginnin...
After closing below $92 in late November, the US dollar index is now fathoming its next test at the 88-89 level. As extreme bullish equity sentiment and valuations suggest the COVID-19 pandemic and global recession are done and dusted, the reality is much less sanguine. At this po...
Political Calculations' initial estimate of median household income of in November 2020 is $66,167, an increase of $101 (or 0.15%) above the initial estimate of $66,066 for October 2020. The latest update to the chart tracking Median Household Income in the 21st Century shows a contin...
It was a good week, up 4 out of 5 days. But momentum was probably dampened by the weak employment report last Thursday and the spiking COVID-19 cases, not to mention the disputed election results. The market today is 172% above its long-term mean. This is higher than it was at the top...
Both the US and international economies are once again accelerating, and inflation has returned across many asset classes. This combination - along with a continued accommodative Federal Reserve weakening the US dollar - bodes well for our investments for the foreseeable future. O...
We share three key lessons we learned from 2020 – and how they inform our 2021 outlook. The UK and European Union agreed on a trade deal. The U.S. launched a new $900 billion fiscal package amid climbing Covid hospitalizations and deaths. This week’s U.S. nonfarm pay...
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BETHESDA, Md. , March 11, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- AdvisorShares, a leading sponsor of actively managed exchange-traded funds (ETFs), announced today that the AdvisorShares Madrona Global Bond ETF (NYSE Arca: FWDB) will no longer close and liquidate as previously announced on March 8, 2...