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NBC recently reported that payroll employment "surged" in February. Specifically, total nonfarm payrolls (seasonally adjusted) grew 379,000 month over month, which was above the expected increase of 210,000. A closer look suggests jobs growth is quite a bit more sedate than the media ...
Computers are programmed to spot words, phrases and chart patterns on the market and certain data on the economy or a specific industry. These phrases, words, etc. based on the program will trigger the computer to sell or buy stocks or a basket of stocks. The idea that higher interest...
The Federal Reserve publishes a quarterly update tracking how stretched American households were in paying their monthly bills. Two of the metrics in that quarterly update are debt service payments and financial obligations, respectively, as percents of household disposable income. ...
Q4 2020 earnings reports are nearing an end, with nearly 80% of companies reporting earnings above analyst estimates, exceeding the long-term average of 65%. Expectations for the next two quarters show earnings growth accelerating, with the Q2 2021 estimate currently indicating growth...
The money flowing from the central banks and governments has created the so-called "pent-up demand" and predictions of 5% or more GDP growth next year. But capacity utilization is down even while trillions of new dollars pour into the system. Inflation expectations are continuing to g...
Most of our portfolio companies are on track to report record earnings in 2021 and beyond. So why does it look like stocks are going nowhere, and why are we reading so much negative commentary? It is possible that a lot of the good news that we expect to see in the economy, as well in...
The highest-quality bonds have sold off year to date, while risk assets have leapt. Equity bulls are declaring a few percentage points decline in bond prices "carnage" and warn that long bonds have "duration" risk, though the duration risk in equities is much larger than bonds. Wi...
In the fixed income world, the yield on the 10-year Treasury bond briefly broke through 1.60% Thursday. This is still low by historical standards but represents a sharp and rapid. We look at weakness in the bond market (remember, bond prices fall as yields rise) and the resulting equi...
Major stock indexes have set 32 record highs in 2021 so far. The market often looks six months ahead, so it sees a robust first half. Retail sales were up 5.3% MoM in January, after economists expected only 1.2% growth. Consumers are flush with cash, ready to spend when the coast is c...
Despite the stock market's gyrations last week, the 10-year Treasury yield spiked above the 1.6% level on Thursday. The catalyst for the surge in yields was a horrific 7-year Treasury bond auction with a very weak bid-to-cover ratio of 2.04. This essentially means the U.S. budget ...
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BETHESDA, Md. , March 11, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- AdvisorShares, a leading sponsor of actively managed exchange-traded funds (ETFs), announced today that the AdvisorShares Madrona Global Bond ETF (NYSE Arca: FWDB) will no longer close and liquidate as previously announced on March 8, 2...