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Initial claims for regular state unemployment insurance totaled 553,000 for the week ending April 24, a drop of 13,000 from the previous week's upwardly revised tally of 566,000. The current result is the lowest level since March 14, 2020 and continues to suggest an improving outlook ...
The Federal Reserve's balance sheet has reached $7.82 trillion at last count. Expanding at roughly $120 billion a month, it will be over $8 trillion by the end of this quarter, if the Fed's bond purchases remain on target. My guess is that some type of shakeout is coming for the broad...
We stick to our pro-risk stance and tweak our tactical views as the U.S. leads a powerful global economic restart and our new nominal theme plays out. Stocks were little changed on the week as markets digested strong first-quarter earnings reports and bond yields eased. The Federa...
I joined Daniel Lacalle to discuss why markets are mistaken in pricing in a massive economic expansion. We unpack many of the mainstream myths on narratives driving markets and why outcomes will be no different than in the past. The discussion covers a lot of ground, including cor...
Sell the old economy (cyclical), value and anything considered risky (small cap), buy large cap, dependable growth (tech), i.e., the bulletproof, the innovators. Valuation doesn't matter - you just need to be somewhere with immunity to the economic ravages of the renewed pandemic. ...
Jerome Powell and the Fed have chosen to ignore an exploding stock market, rapidly rising inflation and forecasts of GDP north of 6% for 2021. They have vowed to keep the accelerator pressed to the floor to at least 2023. Modern-day "Tulip Bulb" manias are popping up as investors jump...
The CPI release last week was hot, but apparently it could be explained as "transitory," which caused the Treasury market to rally and yields to fall. CPI rose last month at an annualized 7.2% rate, and it is likely headed higher. Needless to say, if I expect inflation to rise further...
The March budget deficit came in at $660 billion, a record high for the month and 455% above the $119 billion deficit last March. Outlays were $927 billion vs. income of only $268 billion. Passing two $2 trillion stimulus packages within two months makes no sense when the U.S. economy...
On an unadjusted basis, new jobless claims declined by 152,833 to 612,919. Seasonally adjusted claims declined by 193,000 to 576,000 (with last week's number being adjusted upward by 25,000). Continuing claims, which historically lag initial claims by a few weeks to several months...
Expectations were very depressed the first year off the market bottom but are getting harder to beat now. Stock valuations are relatively high, but we call this a “good overbought condition” because so much of the market is participating. Chris Verrone, head of techn...
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BETHESDA, Md. , March 11, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- AdvisorShares, a leading sponsor of actively managed exchange-traded funds (ETFs), announced today that the AdvisorShares Madrona Global Bond ETF (NYSE Arca: FWDB) will no longer close and liquidate as previously announced on March 8, 2...