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The wind-down of the Fed’s $13.8 billion portfolio of corporate bond holdings and ETFs should have a limited effect on the market, as the purchases did not last for long or amount to that much. We think that spreads could widen slightly, but the market will not have that much d...
We expect the European Central Bank to maintain its current pace of asset purchases even though the economic restart is gaining momentum. U.S. nonfarm payrolls growth picked up in May. We caution against extrapolating too much from erratic near-term data amid a powerful restart. U...
The VIX has hurtled lower, to just over 15, and at this rate, it will soon be in the low teens. The same is the case for the MOVE index for fixed-income volatility, which is also now clearly driving lower, hitting a 13-month low of 53.4 in May. I suspect vol selling will remain lu...
This has been a run in stocks from the March lows, all while without even really experiencing the usually recession beforehand. That run has been coupled with record revisions of earning forecasts, setting us up for what would seem to be an inevitable fall. However, markets can trend ...
Over the last few weeks, we discussed the ongoing “buy signals” suggesting the market could retest all-time highs. That occurred this week. While the markets could undoubtedly break out to new highs next week, the upside remains limited. Such is due to the weekly signal,...
Trading by calendar rules - or any other form of market timing - tends to be a loser’s game. The month of May has historically been flat for stocks, and this May was no exception. The S&P 500 rose just 0.47% this May. Although the Dow rose 1.93%, Nasdaq fell -1.53%, so May ...
The major asset classes delivered across-the-board gains for a second month in a row in May. Everything apart from cash was up last month, led by a sizzling rally in foreign inflation-linked government bonds. The FTSE Russell World Inflation Index ex-US surged 4.0% last month, the...
New orders for durable goods fell in April, decreasing 1.3 percent, following a run of 11 consecutive gains. Total durable goods orders are up 32.2 percent from a year ago. New orders for nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft or core capital goods, a proxy for business equipment...
The market focus is on the restart and inflation - and less on geopolitical risks - yet, it’s worth watching specific risks, as flareups could catch investors off guard. Inflation expectations eased on lower oil and commodity prices. We expect volatile near-term data amid pent-...
The Fed can't taper Quantitative Easing (QE) without really hurting the market. Tapering of QE will signal a shift by the Fed to tighter monetary policy. Tapering will signal the end an era of Fed ease and the onset of higher inflation and interest rates, the market’s event...
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BETHESDA, Md. , March 11, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- AdvisorShares, a leading sponsor of actively managed exchange-traded funds (ETFs), announced today that the AdvisorShares Madrona Global Bond ETF (NYSE Arca: FWDB) will no longer close and liquidate as previously announced on March 8, 2...