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The pandemic is expected to change the labor market, with more work from home and higher wages. One unexpected change is the large increase in new business applications. Last Spring, there was speculation people were forming businesses because of a bad labor market. But as of June...
Sideways markets happen not because the stock market gods play an unkind joke on gullible humans, but because of human emotions. Historically, sideways markets have always followed secular bull markets. At the end of secular bull markets, stocks become very expensive - their valuation...
Hawkish soundbites and positive economic news dominate for the US, despite global growth concerns. Officials talking about tapering within a few months should help focus minds at the long end of the curve, despite a supportive technical backdrop for bonds. A glut of cash remains i...
The latest Jobs Report was huge figure after huge figure. The unemployment rate collapsed to 5.4%, and the US economy added almost a million jobs. Truly great numbers across the board. The really interesting thing about this report is the unemployment rate, because that’s the f...
Market valuations are elevated, but that does not make markets go down. The only thing that can stop this market now is a lack of liquidity and the Fed withdrawing support. The Fed has already enacted the reverse repo, which has drained $1 trillion out of markets. That’s the st...
Record market highs we are experiencing relate more to capitalization-weighted indices than strength in the average stock composing those indices. Tear apart the numbers, and the results show we have been in a significant downturn in the simple average stock since February 2021. "...
Up until the last decade, negative interest rates were the stuff of abstract theory. Today, the volume of fixed-income securities trading with yields below zero runs to $16.5 trillion, having grown steadily over the past two months with the renewed rally in global bond prices. Expecta...
If you are looking for a snapshot as to why there is so much to this “growth scare” and rising deflationary potential (record stocks, though), outside recent labor market data you’d be hard-pressed to do better than US trade statistics. We can see already the disc...
The past week has been a story of stagflation infecting the US economy while the stock market grimaces as the Fed expresses the need to start a gradual pullout from economic stimulus much sooner or face a rapid pullout a little later. Rapid inflation pounds away at the producer side i...
Initial claims for regular state unemployment insurance totaled 385,000 for the week ending July 31, a drop of 14,000 from the previous week’s revised tally of 399,000. The number of ongoing claims for state unemployment programs totaled 3.259 million for the week ending July 1...
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BETHESDA, Md. , March 11, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- AdvisorShares, a leading sponsor of actively managed exchange-traded funds (ETFs), announced today that the AdvisorShares Madrona Global Bond ETF (NYSE Arca: FWDB) will no longer close and liquidate as previously announced on March 8, 2...