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Summary Over the past couple of months, we have seen a clear downtrend emerge in the coincident measure of economic growth, suggesting we are on the path to recession. Inflation is also clearly rolling over. However, this is not the case within the labour market nor the services sector,...
Summary The US economy has started 2023 on a disappointingly soft note, with business activity contracting sharply again in January according to the latest business survey data from S&P Global. Jobs growth has also cooled, with January seeing a far weaker increase in payroll numbers...
Summary 2023 may be an inflection point for the equity markets. When we look at the valuations around the globe at the region or country level, everything looks really cheap. We believe the markets will stay volatile in 2023. By Melda Mergen, CFA, CAIA, Global Head of Eq...
Summary Easing supply chain pressures are evident in supplier delivery times, which have been rising at a slower pace recently. Labor shortages did not ease much even as demand weakened. Weak demand conditions are likely to continue limiting companies' ability to sustain high wage g...
Summary Manufacturing accounts for 8% of US employment, 20% of capital investment, and 35% of annual US productivity growth. Projects supporting growth for semiconductor fabrication, electric vehicle and battery plants, data centers, and warehouse/distribution centers now account for ap...
Summary On a coincident basis, driven by a historically tight labour market and robust industrial production growth, the US economy remains deceptively strong despite negative real incomes and tight financial conditions. However, the leading indicators of the business cycle continue to ...
Summary Massive government transfer payments during the Covid era ended up being monetized and stored in bank saving and deposit accounts. When people emerged from their Covid cocoons in early 2021, they unleashed a tsunami of spending. Inflation, as a result, surged. The moneta...
Summary The ISM Manufacturing survey suggests the sector has seen a clear slowdown in recent months with broad based weakness across different aspects of business. The Manufacturing PMI fell to 48.4 percent in December, the second consecutive reading below neutral and the lowest level s...
Summary Today’s data offer further evidence that labour demand remains strong despite clear signs of a weakening economy. Labour data is a lagging indicator though and with CEO confidence at the lowest point since the Global Financial Crisis, we expect a more defensive stance of ...
Summary December S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI came in at 46.2, down 1.5 from final November figure and in contraction territory for the second consecutive month. S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI is a diffusion index: A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector; below ...
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2024-07-01 20:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-11 07:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-01 22:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...