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2024-03-08 04:50:00 ET Summary In the last four months, we’ve seen quite a bit of change to the ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard, with four indicators moving from recessionary red to yellow caution. We still think that the odds of a recession are 40% as the historical p...
2024-02-24 02:35:00 ET Summary February's flash PMI surveys brought mixed news on inflation, with European prices looking stickier than in the US. The UK was also notable in seeing a greater incidence of supply chain delays, linked in part to Red Sea shipping disruptions, which is...
2024-02-23 00:10:00 ET Summary The early PMI data for February indicate that the US economy continued to expand midway through the first quarter. Although service sector growth cooled slightly, manufacturing staged a welcome return to growth, with factory output growing at the fas...
2024-02-17 02:10:00 ET Summary Our annual global real GDP forecast for 2024 has been revised up from 2.3% to 2.5%. Global PMI data continues to point to a gradual improvement in economic conditions. Core inflation rates have continued to fall but the outlook is more unce...
2024-02-15 11:45:00 ET Summary January retail sales and manufacturing output were quite a lot weaker than expected, but we are coming off strong levels after upside surprises in late 2023. The outlook remains one of a slowing growth story as high borrowing costs, tight credit cond...
2024-02-11 06:59:00 ET Summary The Fed had an FOMC meeting earlier this week, and a lot of people were saying the Fed was hawkish. I would say that the Fed was being more conservative, more cautious. It’s been a mixed bag with big tech, but nonetheless they are hitting thei...
2024-02-09 17:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-08 09:48:00 ET Summary The ISM manufacturing survey has been below 50 for 15 months in a row and sits today at 49.1. This survey, along with a lot of other manufacturing data and anecdotes, has been cited repeatedly by the economic bears as evidence we are heading for rece...
2024-02-06 07:05:00 ET Summary The US economy is ok - credit spreads are still quite low, liquidity is still abundant, the dollar is still strong, inflation is still declining, and there are only a few indicators that suggest caution. Owning short-term risk-free assets today has b...
2024-02-02 23:22:00 ET Summary Despite the supply concerns, manufacturers are looking to stronger demand and a shift in the inventory cycle to boost growth in 2024. Average supplier delivery times lengthened worldwide in January for the first time in a year, with companies often l...
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2024-05-11 07:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-01 22:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-12 18:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...