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The debit balances in margin accounts indicator weakened sharply, dropping from a positive trend to a negative trend. While nominal retail sales continue to grow, the real retail sales indicator in the AIER Leading Indicators Index remains in a downtrend. Demand for the manufactur...
In President Biden’s first State of the Union speech, there was no change in the national energy policy in the light of $115 oil and soaring inflation, with prospects of much higher prices due to the cutoff of Russian supply. With the latest U.S. GDP estimate now at zero and he...
Almost every commodity rose in prices last week, as did the dollar. Those two factors - rising dollar and rising commodity prices - mean the likelihood of recession in the coming year has risen significantly in just the last week. There was considerable volatility in stocks last week,...
G5 central bank asset purchases are signaling that global PMIs are likely headed lower in the coming quarters. Inflation has completely destroyed real income growth. Speculative leverage has significantly reduced over the past couple of months. For further details see: G...
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the biggest conventional military attack in Europe since World War II, has wide-ranging implications for economies and markets around the world. Disruptions from this war and the higher energy prices that result could significantly dampen Europe...
The Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index rose to 58.6 in February, up 1.0 point from 57.6 percent in January. The new orders index rose 3.8 points to 61.7 percent in February. It has been above 50 for 21 consecutive months, and it mo...
According to the Census Bureau’s latest report for the month of January 2022, seasonally adjusted sales by mostly online operators skyrocketed by 14.5% from December 2021. Census reported a huge increase in retail across most segments. Total retail sales were up an enormous 3.7...
Industrial production jumped 1.4 percent in January. This was led by an increase in utility output, which surged 9.9 percent for the month, with natural gas up 24.2 percent and electric up 7.6 percent. Manufacturing output - about 74 percent of total output - posted a modest 0.2 perce...
The latest leading economic data indicate that the US expansion is intact. There are signs that the pace of economic activity will slow markedly during the first half of this year. Money-supply trends warn that a boom-to-bust transition could begin as soon as the first half of thi...
The positive result for the AIER Leading Indicators Index suggests continued economic expansion with the potential for a broadening of growth in the economy. Ongoing disruptions to labor supply and production, rising costs and shortages of materials, and logistics and transportation b...
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2024-07-01 20:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-11 07:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-01 22:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...