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Gold has an inverse correlation to real yields, such that when real yields rise, Gold falls, and vice-versa. The RSI and the MACD are at extreme lows now that are consistent with the beginning of prior rallies in TIPS, i.e., far lower real yields, which typically translates into far h...
An all-stock portfolio is usually a risky bet for retirees due to sequence of returns risk and inflation. That said, we can arrange stocks by sectors to better prepare for bear markets and any economic environment. It's the all-weather retirement stock portfolio. An all-...
The latest seasonally adjusted inflation rate for July came in nearly flat at -0.03%. This was on the heels of a blisteringly hot June number of 1.35%. While inflation did surprise to the downside, it had been expected to be much lower due to the fall in oil and drop in gasoline price...
Inflation and the better than feared earnings season dominate market movements. Markets remain very volatile following record inflation readings paired with an aggressive Fed and negative consumer sentiment. Inflation is softening in July and markets have started to rally again. U...
Gold fell below an important technical level of $1,800 per ounce in the first week of July, succumbing to relentless strength of the U.S. dollar as global recession fears drove investors to the greenback. Inflation data was, once again, ahead of estimates, as June’s U.S. Consum...
Gold recently went through a textbook 20% correction, and many quality gold miners got pummeled, dropping by 30-50% or more. While many analysts are modeling gold miners' earnings using stagnant or lower gold prices, the price of gold could move substantially higher in the coming year...
Gold mining supply has fallen 7% from 2016 to 2021, while silver is down 8.5%. The cost of mining gold and silver is far below the current level of prices, which should create an incentive for more investment in the sector. There don’t appear to be a lot of new mines coming...
Inventories have risen recently and there has been a lot of commentary about how this will negatively impact the economy. My brief overview of markets is that large growth stocks are still overvalued even as they led the recent rally. The sentiment about the economy is still quite...
As the gold price fell in Q2, gold ETFs lost 39t, giving back some of the strong Q1 gains. Central banks continued to buy gold. Recycling activity remained elevated compared with 2021. Gold demand softened in Q2 Despite Q2 weakness, strong first quarter ETF inflows...
Gold fell through the trap door at $1,800 and tested $1,680 last week. Has a bottom been found? Similar to gold, silver fell through several levels of strong support which turns all of those into resistance. Until the miners can gain traction and start powering higher, momentum in...
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