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Russia’s attack on Ukraine will have lasting and negative effects on the world economy. Within Russia, businesses selling to the domestic market will see foreign sources of products and services as unreliable, leading to local sourcing at higher costs and a lower variety of ava...
With global markets close to post-Ukraine war highs, we remain neutral on global equities. In the UK, the Bank of England is the outlier for now, raising interest rates by a further 0.25% but alluding to the possibility of an easier trajectory of rate increases as growth slows due to ...
Our view on U.S. large caps remains unchanged, but it was already negative due to stretched valuations and the interest rate sensitivity baked into that segment’s growth-oriented profile. High inflation, rising rates and slowing growth is a potentially poisonous mix for equity ...
Russia's invasion of Ukraine on 24 February has fundamentally changed the geopolitical landscape - with economic consequences. While the 2022 global growth rate represents a slowdown from 5.8% in 2021, the world economy has sufficient resilience to avert a recession. While Russia ...
European stocks actually performed better than the NASDAQ last week so maybe it was positive developments in the Ukraine war that spurred the rally. The dollar index fell nearly 1% last week but is still in an uptrend across shorter time frames. What the market does on a week to w...
An analysis of global supply chains and commodity markets in the presence of significant kinetic warfare. An overview of why sovereign reserve practices may start to shift towards more diversification and neutral reserve assets. Examples of three attractive stocks for the long run...
March PMI data will therefore be scrutinised for the impact of these events on various economic metrics such as output, supply chains, prices and upon the sole sentiment PMI sub-index - the future output index. Since the eruption of the Ukraine crisis on February 24, commodity prices ...
We see the Ukraine war reducing global growth, increasing inflation and putting central banks in a bind. We prefer developed stocks in the inflationary backdrop. Stocks led by European equities bounced from 2022 lows last week, as oil prices came off highs. The European Central Bank a...
Putin’s gamble, and the West’s response, has brought into view one of the few existential tail risks that isn’t a Black Swan: the risk of an escalation into war between Russia and NATO, and the exchange of nuclear weaponry. We also know that the war between Ukrain...
The global economy expanded for a twentieth straight month in February, according to the JPMorgan Global PMI™ with the rate of expansion accelerating from January's 18-month low as the COVID-19 Omicron wave showed signs of easing. Global GDP growth in Q1 2022 so far looks slowe...
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When it comes to investing for college, you don't have to be a master stock picker to build the education savings account you need. A well-designed portfolio of exchange-traded funds , or ETFs, could help you achieve your objectives without too much effort on your part. With that in mind, here...