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Summary The UBS Constant Maturity Commodity Index and other commodity index strategies slumped during September. CMCI declined by 5.5% in September but remains up 8.4% year-to-date. The Bloomberg Commodity Index declined by 8.1% in September and remains up 13.6% year-to-date. ...
Summary The gold market was overwhelmed by the relentless strength of the dollar during September. Many companies are expecting cost inflation to persist into 2023, with little visibility beyond. If a gold catalyst emerges, gold stocks stand to gain from oversold levels. One s...
Summary While we await the eventual central bank pivot back toward easing and QE, COMEX digital gold and silver have been whacked, cracked, and shellacked. There's a lot going on behind the scenes in the commodity markets. For example, crude oil demand should be falling with the g...
Summary We maintain our intermediate-term bearish bias and think it makes sense to pursue short-term shorts, as well. Shorting stocks is a difficult and complicated proposition. Typical action would see oil back above $100 bbl pretty easily, with a run toward $120 certainly wi...
Summary The US, UK and Europe now report ‘official’ inflationary figures at around 9% to 10%. The Bank of England blinks and purchasers more bonds, which could herald in a new phase of quantitative easing. In the coming months we anticipate that the Feds along wi...
Summary Over the last two weeks Federal Reserve officials delivered 37 speeches, all of the speakers competing to see who could be the most hawkish. The big problem with the Fed’s plan to kill inflation by reducing economic growth and raising the unemployment rate is that t...
Summary Gold dropped 2.6% in September on the back of the twin headwinds of a surging US dollar and higher bond yields. Gold remained resilient despite these challenges alongside pressure from futures net shorts and ETF outflows. The US dollar surge has been a major headwind f...
Summary Managed Money continues to hammer the price of gold lower as the Net Short position increased to -43k contracts. Gold: While Managed Money grows more pessimistic on the metal, the overall market continues to shrink. Managed Money has also absolutely hammered silver low...
Summary Elevated inflation, currencies, slowing global economic growth expectations, and reduced central bank liquidity remain key economic considerations. Volatility measured by the VIX spiked in September after declining in August. This wall of worry is real, but it is impor...
Summary YTD, the S&P 500 is now down 24% while bonds have their own double-digit losses. Like stock valuations, currency valuations aren’t great timing tools but over a 3-year period after becoming undervalued, the outperformance is strong. Consumer defensive stocks...
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2024-07-11 21:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-11 10:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-02 01:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...