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Summary The gold market enters trading for the month of November on a losing streak. The primary fundamental impediment to higher metals prices is the lack of any respite from Federal Reserve rate hikes. Over time, gold prices respond inversely to the cumulative destruction of...
Summary Gold demand (excluding OTC) in Q3 was 28% higher y-o-y at 1,181t. Year-to-date (y-t-d) demand increased 18% vs. the same period in 2021, returning to pre-pandemic levels. Central banks continued to accumulate gold, with purchases estimated at a quarterly record of nearly 4...
Summary Swaps increased net shorts over the month which helped drive total net positioning slightly higher. There has never been a downward move like the recent one. The Fed might be dialing back the hawkish talk this week which could be the soft pivot that marks a bottom in t...
Summary The process of a major change in the macro backdrop is just, a process. It takes more time than many may find convenient. But slowly the macro is shifting away from inflation, risk 'on' and cyclical in favor of counter-cyclical. We have stated and proven over the years...
Summary Will the fourth 75 basis-point rate hike be the last major rise before the Fed downshifts in December? Next week’s FOMC decision is widely expecting a unanimous vote for one last major rate increase. Inflation has hit double-digits and remains the ECB’s numbe...
Summary Gold and gold stocks are entering their strongest seasonal span of the year. Gold’s big winter rally is fueled by outsized demand first from holiday jewelry buying, then investment buying. Gold and its miners’ stocks have strong tendencies to rally big betwee...
Summary India is almost in the middle of its annual festive season, when demand for gold and silver peaks. Global bullion prices currently range about $1,700 an ounce, with a net drop of around 8% in dollar terms in CY2022. Indian gold rates are influenced mainly by US interes...
Summary Due to the Fed's rate hike regime, the Dollar Index has been rallying since the summer of 2021. A drop below the 50-day and then 110 would signal that the uptrend has been broken. One should expect the U.S. Dollar Index to anticipate the eventual Fed policy reversal an...
Summary Since breaking below $1700, gold has been trapped around $1650. Silver saw a strong rally above $21 but then broke down below $20 again. While many indicators are bearish, the absolute lack of interest shows that the market is starting to bottom. ...
Summary October gold saw very strong delivery for a contract that is neither major nor minor (10x bigger than minor but 1/10th the size of major). Total contracts delivered so far (22,450) is 20% larger than last October and still has about 800 contacts remaining in Open Interest....
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2024-07-11 21:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-11 10:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-02 01:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...