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Two weeks ago, many were worried about the market “bump” that the Federal Reserve had to deal with. The market disturbance came in the area of repurchase agreements and the Fed responded quickly, and, in my opinion, kept things quiet although some analysts wanted to make a bigger...
RECESSION ANGST VS. RECESSION REALITIES Global growth have been at the center of investor worries, but in some geographies, this is currently more a function of anticipation than hard data. Looking into the fourth quarter of 2019, we would break the world into two groups. Europe and some m...
Repogeddon Breitbart and ZeroHedge have been shouting that the financial markets are in chaos, disaster looms, over the spike in repo rates. This isn't actually a serious problem whatever is being said. Sure, there's a reasonable argument that we'd prefer not to have repo rates of 10% ...
President Trump's administration would like to achieve a “weak” dollar in order to spur on US exports and improve the US trade balance. This is the primary reason for the President's tirades against Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. So far this year, the president is lo...
The BCI at 257.1is up from last week's downward revised 256.6, and remains below the previous high of this business cycle indicated by the BCIp of 91.9. However, the 6-month smoothed annualized growth BCIg at 10.2 is below last week’s downward revised 10.4. Both BCIp and BCIg are not si...
It's that D-word again. Deflation is knocking at the door of the global economy. But who is going to answer, and who is really at the door? (and so what??) In the following charts and paragraphs I will provide my take on the key drivers, the response, the ripple effects, and a base case scen...
The Chinese economic situation is unsustainable and could lead to a debt crisis, Kevin Caron, senior portfolio manager at Washington Crossing Advisors, told viewers of Real Vision’s Trade Ideas. Unusually for an emerging market economy, China has 50% of its GDP in investment an...
During what was variously described as a disastrous press conference on Wednesday, Jerome Powell said trade tensions nearly "boiled over" in May and June but "returned to a simmer" in July. The Fed Chair made a number of mistakes over the course of his press conference, and that was one of t...
After all of the hoopla surrounding what the Fed was going to do, or not going to do, the pronouncement has now been made. The Fed did several things, in actuality. First, it cut interest rates by one-quarter point, as was widely anticipated. This was their first rate cut since 2008 and it mar...
I've talked quite a bit in these pages about the extent to which 2019 has been a year defined by an epochal central bank pivot, which has reinvigorated the global hunt for yield to the benefit of risk assets. There was a time not so long ago (perhaps five years ago) when the vast majority o...
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2024-07-22 01:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-11 22:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-01 23:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...