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With the war in Ukraine and China’s zero-Covid policy, delays and prolonged supply bottlenecks are defining this year’s world trade outlook. Yes, demand is softer, notably from China but the backlog is such that supply chains will remain strained for the rest of the year...
Quite frankly, new business creation is occurring in many parts of the world. We have observed new businesses being created at an annual growth rate greater than 15% since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in Canada, France, Japan and the United States. The Economist estimates th...
Stocks had a ripsnorter of a rally last week and a lot of people are pondering the question in the title over this long weekend. Sentiment is certainly negative right now by several measures. Sentiment surveys (AAII, Investor’s Intelligence, etc.) are universally negative becau...
Davos 2022, the annual meeting of The World Economic Forum, came to an end with many experts painting a bleak outlook for the global economy. Wall Street analysts, economists, and industry leaders agree that a global recession is likely. A close evaluation of some of the topics di...
Central banks are facing a growth-inflation trade-off. Hiking interest rates too much risks triggering a recession, while not tightening enough risks causing runaway inflation. The Fed has made it clear it is ready to dampen growth. Implication: We are neutral developed market (DM) equiti...
Global consumer price inflation picked up from 5.3% y/y in December 2021 to an estimated 7.0% this May, a pace that will likely be maintained through September. Our May forecast already incorporates a mild quarter-on-quarter contraction in eurozone real GDP in the second quarter and d...
How similar will the next three or five years look from the years that immediately preceded the pandemic? And what are the implications for us as global equity investors? We don’t expect anything like the hyperinflation and stagflation we experienced in the 1970s; our outlook s...
The economic news emanating from Britain and the European Union is continuing to come in weak, as many European countries are expected to slip into a recession this year. While inflation may be ebbing in China and the U.S., inflation is still accelerating in Britain and the rest of Eu...
Our rising price problem is, more than anything, a supply problem, and reducing demand is certainly one way to tackle it. But returning to the pre-COVID growth rate doesn’t mean we are headed to recession, that contraction is in our immediate future. US stocks and REITs wer...
Addressing the recent tumble in markets, Eitelman noted that the week of May 16 was particularly rough for U.S. equities, with the S&P 500 Index declining by roughly 4%, as of market close on May 19. The competing signals within the CVS investing framework have led Eitelman ...
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2024-07-22 03:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-31 11:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-21 13:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...