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Summary Surging stocks show markets believe hopes of a soft landing by the Fed to be true. We disagree and stay underweight developed market (DM) stocks. U.S. stocks jumped and bond yields plunged after October CPI rose less than the market expected. But sticky core inflation keep...
Summary After a round of soft inflation data triggered a buy-everything relief rally, Wall Street will focus on Fed speak and a plethora of data points that might show the economy remains resilient. It’s a relatively quiet week for the EU with the two standout economic rele...
Summary The largest companies in the UK equity benchmark may stand to benefit from global economic shifts, including higher inflation, interest rates and capital spending. As of October 28th, the FTSE 100 was down 4% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 has dropped 20%. Moving ...
Summary After two years of buoyant market growth, the outlook for the temporary employment sector darkens for 2023. With economic activity in most European economies expected to slow down, market volumes are likely to decline next year. Rising energy and food prices lead to lo...
Summary Tight monetary policy aims to slow down an overheated economy by increasing interest rates. Conversely, loose monetary policy aims to stimulate an economy by lowering interest rates. Global central banks have raised rates rapidly but their rates are still below inflation l...
Summary The US October CPI is the most critical data point in the week ahead. The November CPI will be reported the day before the FOMC meets again on December 14. The other report, the US monthly federal deficit, gets little attention from the market. There are th...
Summary October’s greatest mover was the UK 10-year Gilt mid-yield, which ended the month 55 basis points lower at 3.52%, after closing at a 14-year high of 4.49% on October 10. The U.S. 10-year Treasury note ended October with a yield of 4.08%, a 27-basis point increase fr...
Summary The duration or the Fed's tightening cycle may end up being longer than expected. Why the Fed's terminal rate has become a moving target. The big mistake for the Fed wouldn't be overshooting, it will be being premature in pivoting. Fed Chair Jerome Po...
Summary Flurry of activity among central banks in recent weeks: October interest-rate increases by the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank; more recently, rate hikes by the Fed and the Bank of England. Fed Chair Jerome Powell made it apparent that the central bank still h...
Summary This week will be massive for markets as investors closely watch to see how inflation moderates. In addition to the inflation report and the midterm election, traders will also closely monitor the preliminary University of Michigan Survey. A quiet week as far as upper-...
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iShares today announced its plans to close the following U.S.-listed ETFs on November 2, 2023. The funds will cease trading and no longer accept creation or redemption orders after market close on October 30, 2023. Proceeds of the liquidation are currently scheduled to be sent to shareholders...