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The European Central Bank continues to disproportionately inflate the debt bubble of the Eurozone, while the economic slowdown of the main European economies worsens. What was designed as a tool for governments to buy time in order to carry out structural reforms and reduce imbalances, has bec...
European parliamentary elections don't typically generate international headlines, but with Brexit still unsettled, this time they are front and center. Our Head of European Fixed Income David Zahn says voters are clearly venting their frustrations, but what is really needed to restore greater...
While everyone is focused on the Chinese "Game of Thrones," with the United States, I am not. The tariff wars could go on for months, if not years. While it is true that China has the second largest economy, it is 41% smaller than the United States. We can withstand the heat much better and fo...
There are no bullets, but plenty of verbal projectiles being fired. "More Europe" has dwindled to a pipe-dream shared by Mr. Macron and Ms. Merkel and few others. The notion of a European Parliament having sway over each of the 27 nations in the European Union is about to be dismantled, in my ...
Elga suggests a few investment options that may benefit from a pick-up in European growth and any decline in geopolitical concerns. We continue to prefer a "barbell" approach to risk-taking in the late-cycle stage: quality stocks, income-generating bonds and emerging markets. And there a...
There are many here among us who feel that life is but a joke But you and I, we've been through that, and this is not our fate So let us not talk falsely now, the hour is getting late - Bob Dylan I am standing on the Watchtower now. I am peering intently at the European election, w...
It’s been almost three years since the original Brexit referendum passed in a vote that stunned Europe. The British people voted to get out of the European Union, and we’re still waiting for it to happen nearly three years later. At the time of the vote, headlines were blaring Ar...
In late March, as global pessimism was renewed in the world's bond markets, ECB President Mario Draghi appeared as he always does to urge optimism. Yes, Europe's economy in particular didn't finish 2018 as he had been expecting. But a soft patch, Draghi said, wouldn't necessarily " foreshadow ...
Elga explains why politics pose the biggest risk to our base case that European growth should rebound in the second half of this year - and why the European Central Bank's perceived lack of policy options is also a concern. We expect eurozone growth to pick up in the second half of this ye...
Fog in the Channel - Europe isolated So goes an English BBC radio news statement in the 1930s - during the fading days of the British Empire - that showed the disdain the grand elites of Britain towards the minor beings living on the European mainland who had never enjoyed the superior way...
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