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Critics of modern monetary policy have been predicting that the day would come when a central bank would cut interest rates (or at least promise to), and the financial markets, instead of throwing a party, would fall. Then, it would be game over for easy money. This has yet to happen in the ...
By Daniel Lacalle The European Central Bank continues to disproportionately inflate the debt bubble of the Eurozone, while the economic slowdown of the main European economies worsens. What was designed as a tool for governments to buy time in order to carry out structural reforms and redu...
Posted by Reine Bitar, CFA®, Portfolio Manager and Michael Booth, Associate Portfolio Manager The eurozone economy has experienced a sharp slowdown since the second half of 2018 in a reversal from the mini-boom enjoyed in 2017. This downturn has been most pronounced in the m...
Rome - the city of visible history, where the past of a whole hemisphere seems moving in funeral procession with strange ancestral images and trophies gathered from afar. - George Eliot The Romans and their empire was at its height in 117 CE. It was the most extensive political and...
Eurozone inflation is in the doldrums again. After perking up to 1.7% in April, it slumped back to 1.2% in May. According to Bloomberg , this was "lower than expected." But I wonder who, apart from the ECB, really expected anything else. Core inflation has been well below target for the las...
Musings May was a particularly weird month in a weird period for the markets (though I suppose that could be said about most times). The furious rally from the December 2018 lows (spurred by the narratives of a cool-headed Fed and Administration) fizzled spectacularly against the realities...
By Bill Witherell, Ph.D. The results of the European Union's Parliamentary elections, held the last weekend in May, were welcomed by investors as being not as bad as many had feared. A broad populist and nationalist anti-EU surge, which had looked possible, was avoided. Pro-EU lawmakers wi...
What Is It We're Worrying About? The eurozone is, by rough rule of thumb, some 20% of the global economy. If that goes into recession then it's going to affect everyone and every market. How do we tell if the eurozone is going into recession? Ah, well, that's much more of an art than it is...
What's the Problem Here? Macroeconomic factors will overwhelm near any investment plan based upon an individual stock or bond. Thus we need to be clear on the general direction of the economy before making such specific plans. The macroeconomic indicators we've got coming out of Germany are ...
(Source: ECB , caption and editing by the Author) For those who believe that the ECB will be forced into monetary policy easing again soon, the latest mid-year Financial Stability Review has come just at the right time. It may also have come just in time for the new Chief Economist Phil...
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IndexIQ today announced that, as a result of a regular review of its product suite and commitment to meeting evolving client needs, it will liquidate the following exchange-traded funds (ETFs): The last day of trading on the NYSE Arca, Inc. for each liquidating fund is expected to be Augu...