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These macroeconomic numbers The reason we look at these varied macroeconomic statistics is that we want to know, divine, if and when the economy is going to turn. We know very well that we've not abolished the business cycle and quite clearly we want, as investors, to be differently orientat...
The very concept of the Eurozone is a difficult one Sure, it's the set of countries, economies, that use the same currency. And thus have the same central bank and the same base interest rates. The actual problem with the concept being that they're just not the same economy and are all worki...
The European Council's decision to propose Christine Lagarde and Ursula von der Leyen as the presidential candidates for the European Central Bank ((ECB)) and European Commission, respectively, sends three subtle but important messages to financial markets: 1) Continuity. Other candidates,...
By Raju Huidrom, Economist, Emerging Economies Division, European Department of the IMF; Carlos Mulas-Granados, Senior Economist, European Department of the IMF; Laura Papi, Assistant Director, Asia and Pacific Department of the IMF, heading the South Asia division; and Emil Stavrev, Deputy D...
David Beckworth : Our guest today is Jeffry Frieden. Jeff is a professor of government at Harvard University, where he specializes in the politics of international monetary and financial relations. Jeff is the author of many articles and books, including *Currency Politics: The Political Econ...
By David Zahn, CFA, FRM, Head of European Fixed Income, Senior Vice President, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group® Christine Lagarde may have emerged as a surprise candidate to take the helm of the European Central Bank (ECB), but David Zahn, our Head of European Fixed Income, see...
It is a "War," of sorts. It does not involve armaments or tanks or military armies running over the Continent but it is the third world conflict for the control and domination of Europe. While everyone focuses on the trade wars with America and China, and some focus on what is happening with I...
Brexit Is Supposed To Ruin The U.K. Economy Ever since anyone had the temerity to even think about leaving the European Union, let alone vote for it, we've been told that the very idea will immediately entirely tank the UK economy. Of course I am biased here, I used to work for Nigel Farage....
By Erik Norland The eurozone's economic expansion has hit a soft patch. Manufacturing has been shrinking for four months - but not at an alarming pace that would indicate a recession. The services sector continues to expand but at a much slower pace than in 2017 and 2018. Except for France...
Yesterday I said to Reuters: "The FOMC minutes were no surprise. I did not expect the Fed to cut today but they made a significant move indicating, strongly, that at least one rate cut was coming this year, if not more. I think they needed time to react to the ECB's new position that rates ...
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IndexIQ today announced that, as a result of a regular review of its product suite and commitment to meeting evolving client needs, it will liquidate the following exchange-traded funds (ETFs): The last day of trading on the NYSE Arca, Inc. for each liquidating fund is expected to be Augu...