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The sharp drop in euro area gross domestic product ((GDP)) in the first quarter and the likelihood of a much more dramatic plunge in the second quarter are consistent with our forecast that the euro area economy will contract by around 10% this year, with risks skewed towards a larger contra...
Investment thesis: Most of the markets are still far too speculative to make any kind of investment. We're starting to get the economic reports about the severity of the damage and its severe. However, the China and Brazil trades from last week are still attractive for now. The latest Mark...
Well, the story is beginning to come out. The world economy has taken a big hit! On Wednesday, we got the news that the US economy had dropped by 4.8 percent from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the first quarter of 2020. On Thursday, we got the news that the eurozone fell by an even larger ...
By Darren Williams The coronavirus has exposed the European Union's (EU's) fault lines. For now, European Central Bank ((ECB)) bond purchases should hold things together. But ultimately, national governments will need to make some tough decisions to secure the EU's future. The EU's inter...
As European countries that moved into lockdown are slowly opening up, Ed Harrison thinks that sentiment is positive around the potential for economic rebirth and said he believes that Europe may fare better than the US during today’s Real Vision Daily Briefing. Overall Europe lo...
Money creation always does lead to inflation One claim that has been put forward about quantitative easing is that it will inevitably create inflation. To which the usual response is that it's been a decade so far and there's no sign of it, so what's the problem? The correct answer here is...
Overview: A 9.8% contraction of the Chinese economy in Q1 did not derail investor optimism today, which saw Asia Pacific stocks rally strongly after Gilead (GILD) reported very preliminary positive testing of its drug to fight the coronavirus and plans to re-open are developing. Japan's Nikk...
This opinion piece was written just prior to the outbreak of the coronavirus epidemic in the West. The authors believe that the pandemic will increase the necessity and therefore the probability of fiscal integration in the eurozone. Based on the leading economic indicators, the eurozone e...
While many observers have seen this coming for a long time, the moment where the eurozone is at a crossroads has been brought forward by the impact of the coronavirus pandemic. The Northern countries will either have to accept some form of debt mutualization and all that it implies, or they ...
Investment thesis: International news is still mostly bad. The latest EU PMI data shows a service sector crash. Data from Japan also shows weakness, as do the latest South Korean releases. On the plus side, China was modestly higher this week but it's still too early to think about taking a ...
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IndexIQ today announced that, as a result of a regular review of its product suite and commitment to meeting evolving client needs, it will liquidate the following exchange-traded funds (ETFs): The last day of trading on the NYSE Arca, Inc. for each liquidating fund is expected to be Augu...