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After the misguided referendum three years ago, the Brexit end-game is about to begin. In the UK, it means political division and fiscal erosion. Moreover, global growth prospects will not remain immune to turmoil in the world’s fifth largest economy. Initially, London’s goal w...
By Claudio Grass Until recently, Germany has been the seemingly unbreakable workhorse that has pulled the European economy back from the brink and kept it ticking along through a myriad of internal and external pressures, as well as political crises, over the last decade. As the undeniable...
Overview: News that the US-North Korean summit ended abruptly without an agreement spurred losses in equities and gains in the Swiss franc and Japanese yen. US President Trump willingness to walk away from the talks is important in and of itself, but it also sends a warning not to go all in ...
A promise of economic convergence was one of the core reasons behind the creation of the Euro. At no time in the Euro area history has this promise been more important than in the years following the series of the 2008-2013 crises, primarily because the crisis has significantly adversely impac...
By Darren Williams The euro area faces another challenging year, but we see a continuation of recent soft growth as much more likely than recession. The European Central Bank ((ECB)) is, nonetheless, now likely to delay its first rate hike to 2020, and could also implement fresh credit-eas...
We expect the European Central Bank to keep rates on hold this year. Elga Bartsch explains why. We believe the European economy requires ongoing monetary policy support. Why? There was a marked slowdown in economic activity last year, and inflation remains subdued. Hence tighter fina...
We told you a couple of years ago that Brexit wasn't going to happen . It's either damaging to the UK economy (in the form of a radical break or hard Brexit), or it is pointless (a soft Brexit with the UK remaining in the customs union) as the UK will still have to follow the rules (without b...
There are several upcoming events where Europe is going to be hitting the walls with who knows what exact results. Don't be so foolish to think that just because it is a Continent away that these events will not affect the global bond and equity markets. They will. The American markets will al...
By Jeff Weniger, CFA You wouldn't know it from the stock market's gut-wrenching fourth-quarter decline and 2019's snapback, but the euro has been downright sleepy. Be careful because that can change quickly. EUR/USD touched a recent low of $1.128 in November and has been moving in a 3-...
Government actions eroding investor trust After the briefest and weakest of economic recoveries, Italy has succumbed to its third recession in a decade. This risks further undermining Italian support for the euro, particularly considering that Italian living standards today are below those...
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IndexIQ today announced that, as a result of a regular review of its product suite and commitment to meeting evolving client needs, it will liquidate the following exchange-traded funds (ETFs): The last day of trading on the NYSE Arca, Inc. for each liquidating fund is expected to be Augu...