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2023-04-10 11:30:00 ET Summary We upped our overweight of inflation-linked bonds in March to quickly take advantage of the market pricing lower inflation - our new playbook in action. Bond yields rose after data showed a still-tight U.S. labor market. We think that keeps inflation...
2023-04-05 02:22:00 ET Summary Earnings expectations have weakened this year; however, we still expect lower earnings per share growth than consensus expectations. Profit margin changes are a key driver of earnings growth. We expect further margin weakness ahead. Our weak earn...
2023-03-31 06:30:00 ET Summary Slower growth and tighter financial conditions could mean a lower terminal rate and bring forward the timing of the first rate cut. While front-end yields have declined in recent weeks, they are still near multi-decade highs and may remain here as in...
Summary Developed economies remain the main source of the unusual outperformance of employment relative to output. An easing of global supply chain constraints has also helped encourage many businesses to raise their capacity expansion plans, notably in the US and Eurozone. Optimism...
Summary Markets may be underestimating the stickiness of inflation and central banks’ determination to beat it - and what that means for growth and corporate earnings potential. We favor fixed income and credit over equities, and investment grade over high yield. Should infla...
Summary After enduring one of the worst years on record across asset classes, investors should find more cause for optimism in 2023, even as the global economy faces challenges. Inflation is likely to moderate, and risks to the inflation outlook appear more balanced than they did severa...
Summary As expected, despite an overhang of risk from the pandemic, global banking sectors again avoided major crises in 2022. The combination of higher interest rates, tighter liquidity conditions, and risk aversion against a background of weaker global economic growth will slow credit...
Summary On a coincident basis, driven by a historically tight labour market and robust industrial production growth, the US economy remains deceptively strong despite negative real incomes and tight financial conditions. However, the leading indicators of the business cycle continue to ...
Summary Recession foretold in developed markets (DM), a pause in central bank rate hikes and China’s reopening help shape 2023 and reinforce our tactical views. European equities led DM stocks higher. Surprisingly weak U.S. services data spurred bets for Federal Reserve rate cuts...
Summary Global business activity fell for a fifth consecutive month in December, with the rate of decline moderating slightly amid improved supply conditions but still rounding off the worst quarter since 2009 barring lockdown months. At 48.2 in December, the Global PMI - compiled by S&...
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2024-07-12 02:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-22 04:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-12 05:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...