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We now prefer U.S. and Japanese equities over European stocks due to the energy shock. We stay underweight bonds because of the inflationary backdrop. Bond yields sprinted higher last week, with U.S. 10-year Treasuries hitting near three-year highs. Signs of weakening economic activit...
Preliminary PMI survey data showed only a modest impact from the Ukraine war on current economic growth in the world's largest developed economies in March. Business activity continued to grow strongly across the G4 developed economies of the US, eurozone, UK and Japan in March. G...
The Fed is talking tough on inflation by projecting a large and rapid increase in rates, but we think it won’t fully deliver and be forced to live with inflation. The S&P 500 scored its biggest weekly gain since 2020, and bond yields rose. Chinese shares rebounded sharply a...
According to a recent report released by the OECD, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, if prolonged, could knock 1.1 percentage points off the global GDP for 2021, while increasing global inflation by 2.5 percentage points over an already lofty inflation level. The damage won’t be...
US valuations remain very high despite a recent selloff across the market cap spectrum. Developed foreign markets retreated to reasonable PE10 levels. Emerging market valuations have not budged much even with a more than 20% drop since February 2021. For further details see:...
We see the Ukraine war reducing global growth, increasing inflation and putting central banks in a bind. We prefer developed stocks in the inflationary backdrop. Stocks led by European equities bounced from 2022 lows last week, as oil prices came off highs. The European Central Bank a...
Putin’s gamble, and the West’s response, has brought into view one of the few existential tail risks that isn’t a Black Swan: the risk of an escalation into war between Russia and NATO, and the exchange of nuclear weaponry. We also know that the war between Ukrain...
The global economy expanded for a twentieth straight month in February, according to the JPMorgan Global PMI™ with the rate of expansion accelerating from January's 18-month low as the COVID-19 Omicron wave showed signs of easing. Global GDP growth in Q1 2022 so far looks slowe...
Emerging Markets are outperforming the rest of the world, due in large part to windfall profits in the commodities-exporting countries of South America and the Middle East. If you want to follow the money, this is a good place to start. Money has been flowing out of tech, consumer dis...
The most recent sanctions are wreaking havoc on global financial markets. The Russian ruble is also plunging, and the Russian economy is being squeezed. Most global equities are also down since the start of the war, and with investors on edge, volatility is spiking. The effects of thi...
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2024-07-22 04:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-12 02:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-22 04:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...