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2023-06-13 10:55:00 ET Summary There will be times when both gold and the SPX are rising in US$ terms, but it should be possible to tell the one that is in a genuine bull market because it will be the one that is relatively strong. For at least a decade, we have been monitoring th...
2023-06-12 21:37:00 ET Summary Securities lending balances have declined across the Americas, Europe, and Asia as short covering took place in May. The S&P 500, DAX, and Nikkei index have all experienced gains, reflecting renewed positive sentiment in global markets. Despi...
2023-06-12 21:05:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 has officially entered a bull market, rising over 20% from its bottom of 3,577.03 on 12 October 2022. Despite the bull market, the S&P 500 is still 10.4% below its record high closing value of 4,796.86 from 3 January 2022. The...
2023-06-12 12:20:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 is entering "extreme overbought" territory, with its earnings yield dropping towards 5%, a level that usually signals a need for a correction. Fundamentals and technicals are aligning to tell investors the S&P 500 is getting exten...
2023-06-09 00:26:00 ET Summary US labor market shows signs of deterioration beneath the surface, with a divergence between the establishment and household surveys in the jobs report. Consumption may face headwinds from higher earners losing jobs, tightening lending standards, and ...
2023-06-07 11:00:00 ET Summary In January 2023, there were only two components of the S&P 500 (SPX) whose market capitalization exceeded one trillion dollars. As of the close of trading on Friday, 2 June 2023, there are now four. The membership of the S&P 500's trillion do...
2023-06-07 06:20:00 ET Summary The yield of the U.S. high yield market, as measured by the ICE BofA U.S. High Yield Index, has been in the 8-9% range for much of the last year, and was close to 9% as of May 31, 2023. A number of sophisticated investors understand that the potentia...
2023-06-06 10:00:00 ET Summary We can visualize the outperformance of the mega-capitalization stocks by looking at the spread between the market capitalization and equal-weighted indices. As noted in last week’s post, the absolute versus relative performance of the S&P ...
2023-06-05 22:32:14 ET Summary The S&P 500's trend is constructive on daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes, indicating market participants are interpreting the fundamentals in a favorable light for future economic outcomes. The primary fundamental drivers in June 2023 include...
2023-06-05 13:55:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 experienced its best week, rising over 1.8% as it entered June 2023, reaching its highest level since August 2023. Two major news events contributed to the positive increase: the Federal Reserve's announcement of hiking rates in June ...
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