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2023-11-07 02:55:00 ET Summary It was just a week ago that we were looking at the serious prospect of a change in market regime for the S&P 500. Last week's developments came as the Federal Reserve, which has strong control over short-term interest rates, chose to leave them a...
2023-11-06 08:00:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 was up 5.9% for the week, and is just 5.0% below the 2023 high watermark. The best performer last week was Blockchain, as Bitcoin continues to gain upward momentum. After several weeks of narrowing market participation, it now loo...
2023-11-02 06:47:00 ET Summary November through December also sees what is generally the highest level of corporate buyback activity for the year. In addition to being buyers of equities over the coming month, Goldman Sachs estimates CTAs will also be significant buyers of bonds u...
2023-11-02 03:59:00 ET Summary Q3 featured just a modest increase in global share repurchase announcements, and the fourth quarter is off to a sluggish start. A trio of consumer companies crossed our radar with encouraging buyback plans despite generally tightening financial condi...
2023-10-30 07:07:00 ET Summary Looking at the fed funds probability picture, it’s clear the Fed / FOMC is on hold for now. I also think investors have to look at yields at the longer end of the curve, as there are some signs of the US economy weakening. Apple’s r...
2023-10-21 00:30:00 ET Summary The Transports and the Semis are two groups typically viewed as "leading" indicators for the broader market. While the Transports (Dow Transportation Index) are now up 15.3% compared to the S&P 500's gain of 19.5%, Semis (Philly Sox Index) are st...
2023-10-19 10:06:00 ET Summary Although American shares continue to hold on to a strong rally from the year-ago bottom, reclaiming the previous market peak is nowhere on the near-term horizon. The current drawdown is the ninth-longest on record since 1950. At this point in history...
2023-10-18 07:10:00 ET Summary Dividend futures for the S&P 500 are now available for each quarter through the end of 2024. The past quarters of 2021-Q4 through 2023-Q3 represent the final value the CME Group's dividend futures recorded for the index on the date the dividend f...
2023-10-12 04:19:00 ET Summary The first half of the year has been far better than expected when comparing expectations at the start of the year which was a more doom and gloom narrative along with the possibility of an earnings recession. For the first time in six quarters, earni...
2023-10-09 23:21:00 ET Summary For the past 30 years, implied volatility and yield curves have been locked in a repeating cycle. S&P 500 options volatility appears to alternate between high and low volatility regimes. Implied volatility on S&P 500 options has been exce...
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