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The post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows. The reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earning...
As Q3 winds down and Q4 begins, the broad investment climate is being shaped by the turning of the monetary cycle. The Fed has already acknowledged that the economy moderated in July and August, and it still went ahead with its signal that it will begin tapering in Q4. The eurozon...
The Japanese private sector reported a sharp deterioration in business conditions during August, with rising COVID-19 cases across the country and subsequent economic restrictions contributing to the fastest fall in activity for a year. A sharp rise in COVID-19 cases ahead of the star...
Regardless of what happens with the economy and bonds over the rest of the year, we are nearing peak exuberance in stocks. Most people fear that a slowing economy will be the trigger for a stock market selloff, but that may be the wrong worry. Bear markets are generally associated wit...
After underperforming earlier in the year, Japanese equities started rising in late August and should maintain strong momentum in the coming months. The Japanese economy’s growth in the recovery quarter, Q2, was solid; and the full-year growth rate for 2021 is projected at 2.4%...
The current slowdown was telegraphed by the bond market, and we’re now in the midst of it. There are any number of reasons to think the economy will just keep fading all the way back to the pre-COVID trend of about 2%. I don’t see any reason to believe we are near recess...
The focus in the US shifts from the labor market to pricing pressures. EU economic and financial affairs ministers are meeting in Slovenia. The meeting concludes on Saturday, September 11. The UK releases August unemployment claims and the unemployment rate on Tuesday. For f...
Equity markets were broadly higher in August, propelled by a late-month resurgence in risk appetite. The FTSE Emerging index rose 2.8% in for all of August, and along with Japan and the US, outperformed the FTSE Developed index gain of 2.6%. Small caps enjoyed a similar renaissanc...
To date, 2021 has been as almost good as it gets for equity investors. Any slowdown in growth has yet to feed into consensus earnings forecasts which have continued to increase over the summer. Investors have few high-yielding alternatives for as long as real and nominal bond yiel...
The economic slowdown we’ve been writing about for months officially arrived last Friday in the form of a particularly weak employment report. But the US economy did still add 235,000 jobs in August. The economic recovery is still intact, even if at a reduced rate of change. ...
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iShares today announced its plans to close the following U.S. -listed ETFs on August 25, 2022. The funds will cease trading and no longer accept creation or redemption orders after market close on August 22, 2022. Proceeds of the liquidation are currently scheduled to be sent to sha...