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The eurozone bucked this improving trend, however, as its service sector growth slowed, accompanying a broader manufacturing slowdown that is also evident in the US and UK. US manufacturers reported the weakest output growth since July of last year, with production inhibited first and...
Consensus remains cautiously positive on the economic and market outlook for the coming year, but for the first time in 18 months, we have started trimming risk in our views, advocating building dry powder to take advantage of opportunities that arise due to potential short-term market vo...
We noted in our quarterly letter that every brokerage house on the Street was bearish and telling its customers to expect stocks to move into a correction. We also reminded you that one of Reilly’s Rules is that when everyone expects something to happen something else usually does....
Wall Street still remains upbeat despite a growing energy crisis that threatens the economic recovery, widespread price increases, and mixed economic data. If energy costs seem poised to head much higher, the unbalanced global economic recovery could dent risk appetite and lead to som...
Risk appetite lifts from one-year low amid expectations of improving near-term market. Sentiment remains subdued by uncertain policy outlooks and political climate. Financials see the strongest favor followed by energy stocks. Tech sees the biggest outlook downgrade. The broad...
The global recovery continues but momentum has weakened, hobbled by the pandemic. Compared to our July forecast, the global growth projection for 2021 has been revised down marginally to 5.9 percent and is unchanged for 2022 at 4.9 percent. The dangerous divergence in economic pro...
Global equities rose through most of the third quarter but gave up most of their gains in a volatile September. As the forces driving stock returns rapidly change in our COVID-scarred world, we believe active managers can help investors effectively navigate the recovery’s uncer...
Much of the excess liquidity absorbed by RRPs arises from government spending not immediately offset by bond sales. Ensuring currency debasement globally is a compelling reason behind monetary cooperation between governments. The private sector’s growing economic woes furth...
Risks to US economic recovery are growing as inflation pressures intensify. The German election was won narrowly by the SPD, as expected, but coalition talks will take some time. Key for the UK at the moment is interest rate expectations with the market’s pricing in three b...
The post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows. The reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earning...
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iShares today announced its plans to close the following U.S. -listed ETFs on August 25, 2022. The funds will cease trading and no longer accept creation or redemption orders after market close on August 22, 2022. Proceeds of the liquidation are currently scheduled to be sent to sha...