The Cut Countdown

2025-12-07 09:00:00 ET

Real Estate Weekly Outlook

U.S. equity markets climbed to the cusp of fresh record-highs this past week as another soft slate of ADP employment data and modest PCE inflation data helped solidify the case for a third-straight Fed rate cut this coming week. The latest ADP report provided the most evident signs of cooling labor markets, posting job losses in three of the past six months - concentrated primarily in small businesses - and a cooldown in wage growth to four-year lows. Meanwhile, the PCE report showed corresponding disinflation in discretionary services categories, offsetting modest upward pressures on goods prices, resulting in the first monthly deceleration in core inflation since April - effectively undercutting the core premise of the remaining FOMC hawks....

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