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Corporate high-yield is outperforming the corporate high-grade index. One unusual aspect to the 2022 stock market selloff is that the Treasury trade hasn't happened. The psychological impact of crude oil and gasoline prices may be a bigger factor in the stock market sentiment data...
At the height of the pandemic, the Fed pumped trillions of dollars into the financial system through asset purchases to support markets and the broader economy. The Fed has several options for unwinding its portfolio. While we think investors will hear a lot about the Fed balance ...
Over the last two centuries, at least 23 ships are recorded as having been sunk by icebergs, while many more have sustained damage. Over the years, while ships have grown larger, so have icebergs. The largest iceberg in the world, at about 80 times the size of Manhattan, broke off the...
Russian debt, both hard currency and local currency, is largely shut down for trading. Prices for Russian government securities are pricing in a default scenario. The markets have dramatically repriced central bank expectations. For further details see: Russia Sanctions ...
Russia-Ukraine crisis: What's Putin's next move? A full regime change in Ukraine may be tougher than Putin thinks. Bond market surprise: Why didn't long bonds react to Russian attack? For further details see: Russia-Ukraine Crisis: What's Putin's Next Move?
Bond market sentiment is reaching extreme levels. Treasury volatility, as measured by the MOVE Index, spiked to very high readings. We see intermediate-term fixed-income rates near fair value for now. For further details see: Rise In Bond Yields Looks Like An Exhausted M...
Investors who think they have no macro exposure quite often are just unaware of what macro risks they are running. One complaint I have seen multiple times that people were annoyed that macro analysts were opining on the topic, despite a lack of qualifications in international relatio...
The market expects at least four rate hikes beginning in March setting the stage for a tough year for fixed income. All else equal, higher yielding asset classes may hold up better as rates rise because a higher level of income earned will help to offset price losses as rates rise. ...
Investors that hold bonds to maturity earn the yield at which they purchased the security, and at maturity, they get paid face value. The US government issues its own currency and can always pay for anything with the Fed’s newly created money. Fixed income investors have go...
Markets had expected the BoE's bank rate hike, but they were caught a bit off guard by a surprising pivot by the ECB, widely seen as the most dovish of major central banks in wanting to hold off talk of any rate hikes until after 2022. ECB president Christine Lagarde noted that inflat...
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2024-06-22 06:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-12 07:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-31 15:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...