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2023-03-14 06:20:00 ET Summary Recession indicators are concerning. Bank runs are particularly concerning. Certain companies may outperform in a recession. As negative economic and financial news piles up, there are increasing concerns about a potential upcoming rece...
2023-03-08 10:00:00 ET Summary US recession risk is high, unless it’s not. Forecasting is hard, but almost every effort to project data benefits by combining estimates from several models. The Composite Recession Probability Index has yet to signal a high-probability es...
Summary US economic activity looks strong or weak, depending on the data sets you choose to craft a narrative. Job postings on Indeed.com, a jobs platform, suggest that the recent strength in the labor market is reversing and that rise in job openings will continue to reverse. The u...
Summary Since late 2022, the stock market pundits have been obsessed with a “soft landing”. The Fed is looking at the inflation figures coming in and they will need to keep interest rates higher for longer. The bond market has also been signaling that rates are headed high...
Summary New unemployment insurance claims have stabilized at a pace close to 200,000 per week. During the pandemic, consumption spending had outsized growth due to massive fiscal stimulus. The Fed raised rates and the yield curve inverted – an indicator of a potential future ...
Summary Economically speaking, bullish bets are mounting on a “no landing” scenario, which suggests the economy will avoid a recession entirely. Fed Funds futures are now pricing in a 21% chance the Fed will hike rates by 0.50% at the March meeting. The eventual revers...
Summary Many analysts suggest the economy may have a soft landing, or, rather, avoid a recession. While those employment reports remain strong, the rapid decline in growth has been a recession signal in and of itself. As we have stated earlier, the trend of the data is far more importan...
Summary The forward 12-month EPS is a time-weighted average between FY1 (2023) and FY2 (2024). During the height of the pandemic, we saw aggressive downgrades in EPS estimates during March-June 2020 as shown in the 2020, 2021 , and 2022 worm. Both the Russell 1000 and Russell 1000 G...
Summary America and the world keep dodging recessions, like they did last year. The IMF just raised its 2023 global growth rate projection to 2.9% (from 2.7% last October), and they raised their U.S. GDP projection from +1.0% to +1.4% now. A 1.4% growth rate is not very exciting, but it...
Summary This can be a challenging market for investors to navigate, especially since many are worried about a possible recession. Since pullbacks occur more periodically than investors would prefer, learning to invest through challenging periods is an important part of any investor ...
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First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III Horizon Managed Volatility Domestic Company Name:
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2024-02-10 04:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-12-13 08:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
First Trust Advisors L.P. (“FTA”) announced today that shareholders of First Trust Horizon Managed Volatility Domestic ETF (NYSE Arca: HUSV), a series of First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III (the “Trust”), voted to approve a new investment sub-advisory agreem...