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2024-01-17 14:45:00 ET Summary The sharp drop in the New York Federal Reserve’s Empire State business conditions index in January triggered a wave of warnings. The NY Fed Manufacturing Index, as it’s popularly known, is prized as an early read each month on the manuf...
2024-01-13 01:12:00 ET Summary In the most recent BLS employment report, the percentage of full-time jobs relative to the population dropped sharply. By increasing the cost of employing low-wage workers, a higher minimum wage generally leads employers to reduce the size of their w...
2024-01-12 23:25:00 ET Summary The biggest economic story of 2023 was about something that didn’t happen. There was no recession in the United States or, for that matter, in the global economy at large. We expect 2024 will be a different environment for AI, one less about h...
2024-01-12 22:35:00 ET Summary Federal Reserve policy rates are set to fall in 2024. However, clear evidence that inflation has been tamed likely needs to emerge before cuts can commence, likely around mid-year. While a smooth landing is still far from certain, rate cuts accompani...
2024-01-12 01:30:00 ET Summary While recession continues to be a base case of 55%, the odds of a soft landing are getting better. As you near a cycle peak, the economy transitions quickly from strong job formation to outright losses. The Fed has the latitude to cut rates and, ...
2024-01-08 14:15:00 ET Summary There has never been an incidence in history where US Conference Board LEI had a 6-month average growth rate sub -4.5%. The six-month smoothed LEI growth rate in November was -7.5% and has been negative for 20 consecutive months. When we combine ...
2023-12-28 11:30:00 ET Summary The 2024 slowdown will probably not be a recession, though that’s certainly a possibility. Yield curve inversion is one of the best leading indicators, measuring whether short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates. Despite the general...
2023-12-28 04:30:00 ET Summary As all students of economics should have learned, prices are set at the margin by the intersection of supply and demand. The surge in the demand for currency has almost completely reversed from its early-covid levels. Corporations are not struggl...
2023-12-22 06:47:21 ET More on First Trust Horizon Managed Volatility Domestic ETF Seeking Alpha’s Quant Rating on First Trust Horizon Managed Volatility Domestic ETF Dividend scorecard for First Trust Horizon Managed Volatility Domestic ETF For further detail...
2023-12-20 04:57:00 ET Summary Some FOMC members saw two cuts, some saw four – based on dot plots – so three, more or less, marks the middle. Emerging markets have lagged developed markets quite dramatically as the U.S. dollar has rallied, along with the Fed’s...
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2024-02-10 04:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-12-13 08:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
First Trust Advisors L.P. (“FTA”) announced today that shareholders of First Trust Horizon Managed Volatility Domestic ETF (NYSE Arca: HUSV), a series of First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III (the “Trust”), voted to approve a new investment sub-advisory agreem...