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Summary Today, the yield curve is more inverted than at any time since the early 1980s, so many are saying that means the chances of a recession are pretty high. Yes, today the curve is very inverted, but real yields are not particularly high. Low spreads suggest the market is relat...
Summary With yield levels surging across the asset class spectrum, one could conclude that a semblance of ‘normalcy’ has returned to the fixed income arena. As we are about to embark on a new calendar year, the fixed income landscape has changed dramatically. From an i...
Summary U.S. investment grade and high yield spreads have been very resilient this year. We do not expect dramatic spread widening unless or until we actually see underlying credit conditions deteriorate. When we consider the paths that the Fed can take, we want to continue to...
Summary During the Refinitiv Lipper fund flows week ended November 9, 2022, investors were net redeemers of fund and ETF assets, withdrawing a net $23.4 billion. International equity ETFs attracted $2.5 billion last week, benefitting from investors’ growing interest in comm...
Summary We believe that various fixed income asset classes are more attractive now and can serve as yield enhancers or portfolio diversifiers, or both, in a variety of market environments. Using broad high yield as an example, at current levels the overall yield would need to incr...
Summary Trading activity on the Tradeweb European ETF marketplace reached EUR43.5 billion in October. Total consolidated U.S. ETF notional value traded in October 2022 was a record USD64.4 billion. As a percentage of total notional value, equities accounted for 44% and fixed i...
Summary The U.S. equity and bond markets remained volatile during the fund-flows week as investors awaited the October employment figures, midterm election results, and the October consumer price index report due out later in the week. U.S. stocks closed higher on Friday, November...
Summary WEA invests most of its portfolio in investment-grade bonds, which hasn't been a safe place in 2022. The fund's discount has been widening out compared to its historical range. Combining the discount and declines, things are starting to get interesting, but it might no...
Summary Almost half of the option contracts being traded on the S&P 500, to the tune of $300 billion of notional each day, have one-day expiries or less. Across all listed ETFs and indices, an astounding $1 trillion of notional value in put options (bets that an index or ETF w...
Summary Rate hikes and tighter financial conditions drove fixed-income returns lower in 2022. The broad repricing of bonds and the higher starting yields we have now can help insulate investors from further losses. If we look at international bonds, this is probably the first ...
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2024-07-12 05:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-22 07:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-31 16:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...