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Summary The iShares Fallen Angels USD Bond ETF (FALN) invests based on the Bloomberg Barclays US High Yield Fallen Angel 3% Capped Index. The VanEck Vectors Fallen Angel High Yield Bond ETF (ANGL) invests based on the ICE US Fallen Angel High Yield 10% Constrained Index. Despite usi...
Summary Equities made a bottom in October 2022, which has held up so far, and it seems the stock market is at the cusp of a breakout into an uptrend. Corporate bonds, VIX, and transports are all supportive of a broad-based foundation for a possible uptrend. Leading economic data is ...
Summary The February 2nd, 2023 rally in the corporate high yield asset class was the strongest day of spread narrowing since November ’20. Spread tightening over longer periods of time is a positive underlying condition for both the US stock market and bond markets, as well as th...
Summary The HYGH ETF provides interest rate hedged exposure to high yield bonds. It can be thought of as a pure-play on the direction of credit spreads. Compared to floating rate senior loan funds like the BKLN ETF, HYGH has superior returns and Sharpe Ratios. The iShares ...
Summary Investor obsession with peaks—peak inflation, peak hawkishness, peak bearishness—has shifted to pivots, in particular, a possible Federal Reserve (Fed) pivot away from its aggressive rate hikes over the last year. Financial markets seem to be placing a higher proba...
Summary The Federal Reserve is suffering massive operating losses. When politicians wake up, Fed losses will draw their fire. Faced with recession, the Fed will likely slash short term interest rates by year end. This could spark a short term rally, but stocks may struggle after...
Summary The JNK ETF did not make another leg higher when the S&P attacked the 4100 level last week, which in my book is an indication that the stock market is a little ahead of itself. As we come up to the FOMC meeting tomorrow, the Fed needs to be reminded that the bigger part of t...
Summary If 2022 was an unsettling year for equities, as I noted in my second data post, it was an even more tumultuous year for the bond market. If the question is why interest rates rose a lot in 2022, and if your answer to that question is the Fed, you have, in my view, lost the scrip...
Summary Investing can seem like an endless cycle of booms and busts. The correlations among European, Japanese, and emerging market equities as well as US high-yield bonds increased consistently since 1989. According to monthly return data, the average S&P 500 correlations to th...
Summary When the height of the entire Yield Curve is the 6-month Treasury Bill, you know that you are living in some very strange place. There are those that suggest that some kind of “pivot,” by the Fed is on the horizon. I am not in this camp, and do not expect to see th...
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2024-07-12 05:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-22 07:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-31 16:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...