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Summary Expensive equity valuations, high real Treasury yields, and a weak nominal GDP growth outlook suggest the HYG will outperform the SPX by at least 2-3% over the coming years. Relative returns are likely to be much higher than this due to valuation mean reversion, particularly in ...
Summary The credit cycle lies at the heart of our financial system. Corporations and households rely on the availability of credit to facilitate economic growth and ensure financial stability. Unfortunately, the leading indicators suggest the cyclical outlook of the credit cycle is unfa...
Summary EMHY provides exposure to emerging market high yield sovereign and corporate bonds. It pays a trailing 7.0% distribution yield. However, with U.S. short-term treasuries yielding 4%+, risky emerging market high yield bonds has diminishing appeal. The iShares J.P. Mo...
Summary Higher inflation and higher interest rates remain a headwind. International stock market indices are doing better than major U.S. stock market indices. There is a case for the continuation of the downtrend or a new uptrend. In this article we will review economic d...
Summary Are markets re-rating EM here? Has the "sudden stop" of capital flowing into emerging markets started? A steadfast tightening Federal Reserve will play into and heighten these EM risks through various channels. The outlook for the US economy remains generally-positive as sho...
Wall Street investors found themselves to be net buyers of fund assets for the first week in three as market participants injected $5.6B into the fund market, which included both conventional funds and exchange traded funds. For the week ending on February 13th the investment community watche...
Summary Two key risks could challenge recent market optimism: weaker consumption and a squeeze on corporate profitability. Despite these elevated risks, current credit spreads are not reflective of recessionary risks when compared with historical levels. The opportunity set for inco...
Summary We share data on 40 big-yield preferred stock ETFs and CEFs, including a special focus on the popular iShares Preferred and Income Securities ETF (current yield is 5.8%). After diving into the details on PFF, we compare it to other preferred stock funds that offer higher yields,...
Summary Why the U.S. economy continues to display polyurethane-like flexibility and resilience, despite encountering extraordinary shocks. How portfolios can also be built with flexibility and resilience in mind. Why high-quality fixed income assets are today a critical component of...
Summary One of the phrases making the rounds among the financial media chatterboxes this week has been “no landing”. The macro news has indeed given some cause for cheer relative to some of the more dour scenarios we’ve been looking at in the past few months. Wh...
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2024-07-12 05:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-22 07:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-31 16:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...