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The Fed can't taper Quantitative Easing (QE) without really hurting the market. Tapering of QE will signal a shift by the Fed to tighter monetary policy. Tapering will signal the end an era of Fed ease and the onset of higher inflation and interest rates, the market’s event...
Many investors took comments from Federal Reserve officials, especially the leadership, as evidence of complacency over inflation. As monetary support for the recovery/expansion was removed, the economy would weaken. A dramatic swing in Fed expectations helped spark a recovery, an...
Sometimes the dollar is the key mover, and other times, it is sort of serves as a fulcrum among the major currencies. The powerful reflation theme spurred by optimism over the vaccine, US fiscal stimulus, and broadening of Asia Pacific's recovery is being expressed in the foreign exch...
The pullback in the dollar that began with the January job report looks to have been completed last week. We expect the stimulus bill to allow the dollar to continue to recover. However, that will be followed by the impact of the fiscal stimulus in Europe and concerns that can be ...
The greenback is mixed. The euro, Swiss franc, and Canadian and Australian dollars and the euro enjoying small gains. Sterling is heavy but calmer than yesterday, and the Swedish krona is matching its decline. For further details see: Consolidative Moment As Markets Wait...
Stocks bounced back, and the US dollar is heavy, with few exceptions. The euro remains within striking distance of the $1.20-level and sterling flirted with $1.34. Emerging market currencies broadly are recovering, and the South African rand and Hungarian forint are leading today'...
The dollar is broadly weaker. Sterling and the Antipodeans are leading today's move, while the Swiss franc and Japanese yen are laggards. Most emerging market currencies are also gaining on the greenback. For further details see: Markets Look Past Near-Term Challenges
The US dollar had a tough week. It fell against all the major currencies and most of the emerging market currencies. Sterling has gained around 1% against the euro over the past two weeks. For further details see: Beware Of The False Break
Sell-side institutions have turned moderately to significantly bearish on the US dollar in recent months. Some banks are expecting up to 20% USD depreciation in 2021. We do not think that the USD will continue to weaken indefinitely from current levels as some economies (Euro area...
Despite the surging pandemic and new restriction measure, risk-appetites appear strong to start the week. Most emerging market currencies are trading higher, though the Turkish lira is an exception. The greenback is trading heavier. For further details see: Risk On Despi...