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2023-03-31 03:30:00 ET Summary Pricing the damage: Financial cracks and economic damage are emerging from the fastest rate hiking cycle since the 1980s. What matters: how much damage is in the price and our assessment of market risk sentiment. Rethinking bonds: We see higher yield...
2023-03-29 09:56:15 ET Summary I think that the Fed will take a wait-and-see approach after its 25-basis point hike in May 2023. My base case scenario for 2023 is a mild recession. There are risks to the real economy if lending standards reduce new loans and deprive smaller busine...
2023-03-28 21:59:00 ET Summary The global economy is in a moderate slowdown, with financial markets being whipsawed by tensions in the banking sectors of the US and Europe in the final weeks of the quarter. Thus far in 2023, global equity markets have proven to be resilient in the...
2023-03-28 02:28:15 ET Summary Emerging markets have outperformed the broad market since late October last year, but the relative rally has stalled. EM, heavy in Financials and Tech, is meandered lately, and I spot two key technical patterns to monitor. I continue to believe t...
2023-03-27 22:26:48 ET Summary IEMG invests in large-cap stocks in the emerging markets. The fund’s valuation is not expensive based on the Buffett Indicator. IEMG’s high exposure to several emerging markets that are experiencing population decline is not favorab...
2023-03-26 05:16:00 ET Summary The regulatory intervention of Silicon Valley Bank stopped corporate and financial sector issuance altogether for four working days. The most notable sign of market resilience was a highly successful USD1.8 billion 10 and 31-year sale by Republic of ...
2023-03-21 17:51:00 ET Summary For most of the last two years, the dollar steadily strengthened against most major currencies with little interruption. While higher rates extinguished risk appetite for investors and sent the dollar soaring, emerging market equities continued their...
2023-03-20 10:45:00 ET Summary More financial cracks from rapid rate hikes are emerging. We stay underweight equities, downgrade credit and prefer short-term government bonds for income. Bank troubles on both sides of the Atlantic hit the sector's shares last week. Short-term bond...
2023-03-17 03:40:00 ET Summary The market gyrations are not rooted in a banking crisis, but in financial cracks from rapid rate hikes. We expect central banks to take actions to shore up the financial system – but to keep hiking rates. We see opportunities in short-term...
2023-03-13 11:20:00 ET Summary Stocks are starting to reflect the economic damage from higher rates - and we see more hikes due to sticky inflation. But expected earnings still look rosy to us. U.S. stocks fell over 4% last week and erased most of their gains for the year, partly ...
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2024-06-12 11:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 09:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-02 18:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...