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We expect the Chinese economy to experience a solid year of growth. The IMF is currently forecasting 7.9% real GDP growth in 2021 - well above trend growth. On the other hand, we continue to think that monetary policy is going to become less accommodative. On an international leve...
After an extremely challenging 2020, we expect a strong global economic recovery in 2021. Historically, EM crises have been driven by unsustainable debt dynamics, currency crises, and/or financial sector disruptions. This is not the case today. Valuations in the EM hard currency s...
David Semple, portfolio manager of VanEck Emerging Markets Equity, discusses where he's finding opportunities today in emerging markets and why investors should consider EM stocks as part of their portfolio allocation for 2021 and beyond. Ola El-Shawarby, senior analyst at VanEck Emer...
As we get further into 2021, we are more bullish on emerging markets equities than at any point in the past decade. One tailwind for growth in EMs is ongoing weakness in the U.S. dollar, which appears to have entered a weakening cycle after an extended period of strength. We see E...
Jeremy Grantham’s 13F portfolio value increased from $14.05B to $16.28B this quarter. GMO Capital increased Wells Fargo, Salesforce.com, and Adobe Systems while dropping Philip Morris and Starbucks. The largest three individual stock positions are Microsoft Corporation, App...
The subsequent snapback in activity in the third quarter of 2020 was commensurate with the second-quarter contraction. Economic growth in 2021 is likely to be the strongest in many decades. Interest rates, exchange rates, and commodity prices set binding constraints on economic ou...
Inflation is going to remain relatively well-bounded. We will see a cyclical uptick in inflation this year. But from a longer-term perspective, there isn’t a meaningful risk of inflation breaking out significantly to the upside. Fiscal and monetary support are clearly two aspec...
January's inflation tally for Emerging Markets is pretty much complete, and it shows that upside surprises are on the rise. EM overseas remittances are alive and well - and doing much better than expected just several months ago. Remittances in most countries in our sample posted ...
This article derives from a close friend's request to put together a portfolio from scratch; it forced me to consider just how strongly I feel about my current views. Most of us have portfolios constructed over time; starting from zero generates questions about allocation, diversifica...
Risk assets continued their historic run last week with EM equities and commodities leading the way. Bonds sold off as the 10-year Treasury note yield broke above 1.20% for the first time since the lows last spring. The 10-year TIPS yield closed the week at 1.02%, near the all-tim...
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2024-06-12 11:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 09:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-02 18:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...