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Equity valuations remain very expensive. Commodity inflation and supply chain issues could derail the Fed. A 5%-10% correction is likely short-term. Strong momentum signals that the equity bubble keeps on inflating after the correction. For further details see: Energ...
The Fed confirmed that it will taper its asset purchase program starting later in November, while the Bank of England (BOE) fell just short of raising rates at its November meeting. 55% of managers expect inflation in the U.S. for the next 12 months to stand between 2.26% and 2.75%, w...
What seems at first sight like a big win for Powell is actually more of a 'Pyrrhic victory', and not only for him. On one hand, Powell is now free of the pressure to please his (political) masters. That's bad news for investors. On the other hand, Powell is getting a (professional...
More than EUR 39 billion was executed on the Tradeweb European-listed ETF marketplace during October, while the proportion of transactions completed via Tradeweb’s Automated Intelligent Execution (AiEX) tool rose to 76.5%. Commodity-based ETFs saw net selling for the third cons...
IHS Markit's PMI surveys track input costs at manufacturing and service sector companies around the world, as well as the average prices charged for these goods and services. The Global PMI's selling price index hit an all-time high of 60.3 with record highs seen for both goods and se...
It feels as if the 'Santa Claus Rally' has started early this year. If history is of any indication, we're due for another ~4% over the next 8 weeks. Nonetheless, things are getting more and more bubbly, and the combination of Tapering, higher inflation, and higher rates is anything b...
The recent run higher in the Sharpe ratio for the Global Market Index finally reversed in October. Risk-adjusted performance has slipped, but GMI's rebound in October lifted it to a new record high. GMI is useful as a baseline to begin research on asset allocation and portfolio de...
The interesting thing is that, depending on how you define “global stock market capitalization”, the US stock market is not nearly as big as we think. If we use the actual full market capitalization the US stock market is just 41% of global equities. But if we use the in...
The long-run risk premium forecast for the Global Market Index (GMI) rebounded in October, edging up to 6.1%, based on revised numbers through last month. The new estimate is calculated in terms of the projected return over the “risk-free” rate, according to a risk-based...
The major US equity indices moved in concert, but the big disappointment so far this year has been small caps. Energy is clearly where the action is this year. After spending years at the bottom of the tables, Natural Gas, Gasoline, and Crude Oil now lead the pack. For furth...
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2024-06-12 11:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 09:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-02 18:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...