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The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index ticked slightly higher in March to an annualized 5.8% pace, fractionally above last month’s estimate. Using short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors (defined below) to adjust the forecast trims GMI...
The magnitude of the war’s impact on growth and inflation will be determined by how much and for how long energy prices rise. The war, economic sanctions and the associated rise in energy costs are likely to exacerbate global shipping impediments, too, which had begun to recove...
Money market funds and equity funds attracted new capital, while taxable bond funds and tax-exempt bonds suffered weekly outflows. Exchange-traded equity funds recorded $7.7 billion in weekly net inflows, marking their eighth consecutive week of inflows. Conventional equity funds ...
Financial markets were net buyers of fund assets that include both ETFs and conventional funds for the second week in a row, totaling $31.5B. Furthermore, equity ETFs experienced their eighth straight week of inflows as reported in the latest Refinitiv Lipper weekly fund flow report. Money ma...
Follow the Money is a series of brief, information-rich posts that I will publish periodically but not on a fixed schedule. After rallying for 9 of the last 11 days, the S&P 500 went from down -13% to down just -3.4%. Growth has been hit hard by the slide in tech stocks this y...
Pick any barometer of costs these days, and the story is the same: Prices are up - and in a dramatic fashion. The first thing that jumps out is the dismal performance of most asset classes during periods of low growth and high inflation - otherwise known as stagflation. A solid fo...
There’s a lot of talk about the Fed’s balance sheet, but I think what people forget is that the size of the balance sheets relative to gross domestic product is much higher in Japan and Europe. We seek to invest where the greatest opportunity resides, be it in EMs direct...
Historically reliable macro indicators signal growth for the U.S. economy. Sustained bear markets in equities unfolded in recessions only. Therefore, it's not surprising that negative newsflow recently could not take the stock market down sustainably. The S&P 500 rally wil...
The mitigation of country risk using political risk insurance has long been undervalued by foreign direct investors but may prove critical if governments are to mobilize financing in support of their recoveries from the COVID-19 pandemic. While the market intuitively understands the b...
UAE suffers from concentration risk and is prone to frequent churn. The macro-economic outlook looks encouraging. The yield is attractive and one could even make a case for the valuations, but the ETF looks stretched to the upside and could do with a pullback. For further de...
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2024-06-12 11:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 09:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-02 18:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...