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Europe took centre stage last week as leaders waited nervously to see if gas would start flowing through Nord Stream 1 again following scheduled maintenance. Next week the focus switches back to the US which has a big interest rate decision of its own and a number of major earnings re...
The credit cocktail has changed after the European Central Bank announced a 50bp rate hike. Thus, we conclude credit is now looking more attractive due to lower rates and the value priced in. We take a look at what this means for credit, as well as some TPI considerations. ...
Curves flattened in reaction to the European Central Bank hiking by 50bp already now. And after the ECB comes the Fed, which is set to deliver another sizeable hike next week, supporting an underlying flattening dynamic. Amid political uncertainty, Italian bonds need not look to t...
The UK economy surprised in May with robust growth following three months of stagnation, but that reading was distorted by holiday dates. The Conservative Party had promised a reduction in taxes, but that measure will likely have to await the election of a new leader and prime ministe...
Instead of rising unemployment, the eurozone is currently facing labour shortages. The shortages had actually already emerged prior to the start of the pandemic. Don’t expect labour market slack to return quickly, as labour supply is already at a record high and mismatches seem...
June had seen global employment growth generally holding up well, with many firms continuing to rebuild workforces that had been affected by the pandemic. Key to the price outlook will be the supply situation. Like the US and eurozone, the UK is seeing a natural moderation of grow...
Two opposing forces appear to be dominating the market currently, with investors polarized between recession fears and bargain hunting following this year’s large equity selloff. Investors priced in most central bank tightening and seem more confident with the inflation outlook...
There has been a dramatic fall in Treasury yields in the past month and an equally dramatic fall in energy, metals, and agricultural commodities. The Ukraine situation holds many unknowns, as it is a major driver of financial markets and there is no end in sight as to when the fightin...
The global economy and financial markets have suffered a dreadful H1 2022, ravaged by a severe commodity shock, strict COVID-19 lockdowns in the world’s second-largest economy, and one of the most aggressive Fed tightening cycles in recent history. H2 looks equally tough. In it...
Based on monetary trends and the early reaction in the economy, we anticipate a slowing growth environment in the U.S., with rising recession risk that depends on the extent of frontloaded Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. Following the initial COVID shock in 2020, investment grade...
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2024-07-02 09:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-12 11:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 10:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...