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Pretend for a minute that it's 2019 and you're Brazil. Or maybe Turkey, your choice. You've got a lot of infrastructure to build if you want to keep your people happy, and to fund those projects you'll need to borrow a lot of money. That's not a problem, because borrowing is easy. The whol...
By Shamaila Khan In a banner year for capital markets, emerging market debt ((EMD)) posted healthy double-digit returns. Global central bank easing, among other supportive factors, helped drive a broad-based rally across nearly all emerging market ((EM)) countries. Can this strength contin...
By Carol Lye Cheap valuations in late 2018 had set the stage for an emerging market recovery, and finally receiving a lifeline this year. The Federal Reserve (Fed) cut rates three times totaling 75 basis points (bps), and equally important, oil prices stayed relatively flattish. As such, e...
By Justin Leverenz and Tan Nguyen Executive Summary There is a widely held perception that emerging market ((EM)) debt growth was spread broadly across markets. The truth is that the growth in the past decade has been focused almost entirely in China. EM economies have low lev...
The reversal in developed markets interest rates over the past year provides a useful case study of how changing market expectations around developed markets rates impacts emerging markets bonds. As shown in the chart below, expectations for a rate hike at the recent July 31, 2019 U.S. Federal...
Lower interest rates in developed markets have been the key driver of emerging markets debt returns so far this year, despite several idiosyncratic stories and emerging markets central banks that have until recently exhibited an overall tightening bias. In our view, the shift in policy global...
By Kathy A Jones No matter what kind of bond you own, its price and yield are going to be influenced by a number of risk factors: the direction of interest rates, inflation expectations and the credit of the issuer being the most prominent among them. When you invest in international bonds...
Russ explains why the suddenly easier central bank policies could be key for emerging markets. During the week of June 17th, almost every asset class, from emerging market debt to bitcoin, surged. The catalyst? The same one responsible for the 10-year old bull market: easier monetary polic...
Russ explains why the suddenly easier central bank policies could be key for emerging markets. During the week of June 17th, almost every asset class, from emerging market debt to bitcoin, surged. The catalyst? The same one responsible for the 10-year old bull market: easier monetary polic...