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When the World Health Organization announced on February 24th that it was time to prepare for a global pandemic, the stock market plummeted. Over the following week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by more than 3,500 points or over 10%. In an attempt to contain the damage, on March ...
By Tobias Adrian, Financial Counsellor and Director of the IMF's Monetary and Capital Markets Department This blog is part of a special series on the response to the coronavirus. The global spread of the coronavirus is a human tragedy unfolding across the world. Quantifying the econo...
A number of factors lead us to think the outlook for emerging markets debt ((EMD)) is positive. Last year's performance was clearly above average (primarily driven by falling U.S. Treasury yields, rather than EMD risk premia compression). This year's overall balance of factors looks marginal...
Originally published March 3, 2020 Widespread fear of the Coronavirus has led to market turmoil and uncertainty, and it is important that the Fed responds accordingly. Scott Sumner is the Ralph G. Hawtrey Chair of Monetary Policy at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, and a...
The spread of COVID 19, volatile financial markets, new historical lows for U.S. bond yields, and a rare intermeeting rate cut by the Federal Reserve made for a highly unusual backdrop for PIMCO's quarterly Cyclical Forum in early March. With uncertainty about whether and when the spread of ...
Here's that iceberg that is drifting toward our economy's Titanic... and no, it ain't a virus, but it is our choice: Via: @Schuldensuehner Years of easy credit, easy money. The pile of debt from Baa to lower ratings is the real threat here, for its sustainability is heavily contingent on t...
The financial markets are in a state of panic over the spread of the coronavirus outside of China and its impact on global growth. Stock markets are under tremendous pressure with extreme volatility as bond yields plummet to unheard of levels as investors seek safety at any price. Program trad...
By Scott DiMaggio, Eric Winograd Transcript: Scott DiMaggio: Forty-nine central banks reduced rates last year. I think it's very difficult for us to forecast forty-nine central banks reducing rates again in 2020. However, the monetary stimulus should still be there. The Fed wi...
The 10 year Treasury is at 1.47%. The 30 year Treasury bond is at an all time low yield of 1.92%. Just deal with it. Get over it. There ain't no yield in sight, and none is likely to show up anytime soon. The Fixed-Income markets have been flummoxed by the world's central banks and they n...
One topic of research that keeps popping up is the question of what the central bank objective function should be. In simpler terms, what is the target of the central bank? (At present, most central banks have an inflation target, possibly with secondary objectives.) This is a preoccupation of...
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2024-05-31 20:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-22 09:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-13 09:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...