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The valuation spread tends to be very wide during a crisis and/or recessions, followed by narrowing of the spread. The extreme widening of the valuation spread during market dislocations that occur during or near the start of value cycles suggests that fear may act as a catalyst and p...
Does the yield curve inversion cause a recession or does it just provide a signal? Is the inversion only about expected future monetary policy? Do other factors also influence the shape of the curve, and if so, can we disentangle the various factors? There is a lot that we don’...
Inflation expectations have kept the Federal Reserve center stage as they commenced their interest rate rising cycle in March. The war in Ukraine and Omicron’s spread in China impacted inflation and supply chains differently, but both delay supply chain normalization. Regar...
Stock markets fell in the first quarter as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine destabilized the growth outlook, amplified concerns about rising interest rates and unleashed geopolitical risks. While the conflict has created many uncertainties, we believe the impact of persistent infla...
Large-cap value stocks have characteristics that could make them compelling in the current environment and beyond. Inflation moved higher in the wake of the pandemic as societies reopened and consumers accelerated their spending, supported by government payouts and massive central ban...
Updating style-box returns as of 3/31/22, using the iShares growth and value ETFs, “value” continues to outperform growth this calendar year. Near the S&P 500 lows of early March and just prior to the start of the nice March rally, S&P 500 growth was down 12%, wh...
Follow the Money is a series of brief, information-rich posts that I will publish periodically but not on a fixed schedule. After rallying for 9 of the last 11 days, the S&P 500 went from down -13% to down just -3.4%. Growth has been hit hard by the slide in tech stocks this y...
A confluence of negative factors set U.S. stocks up for a difficult start to 2022. However, we see both a short- and longer-term opportunity taking shape. Intraday market volatility has been dramatic and stock selling has become indiscriminate, as is often the case in big market swing...
Our view on U.S. large caps remains unchanged, but it was already negative due to stretched valuations and the interest rate sensitivity baked into that segment’s growth-oriented profile. High inflation, rising rates and slowing growth is a potentially poisonous mix for equity ...
iShares Morningstar Value ETF (ILCV) - $0.3281. 30-Day SEC Yield of 2.02% as of Feb. 28. Payable Mar 30; for shareholders of record Mar 25; ex-div Mar 24. For further details see: iShares Morningstar Value ETF declares quarterly distribution of $0.3281
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2024-07-02 10:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-22 12:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-31 21:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...