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Summary As a result of higher mortgage rates, an oversupply of housing and falling demand, the downturn in the housing market is only just getting started. Given the housing markets are important to economic growth, this will continue to be a significant drag on the business cycle...
Summary The Federal Reserve's aggressive push higher in the Fed Funds rate has resulted in mortgage interest rates following suit and rapidly moving higher as well. One factor that might insulate home prices from declining significantly is the lack of supply of existing homes avai...
Summary Nearly 200 REITs and a dozen homebuilders have reported third-quarter earnings results over the past three weeks, providing critical information on the state of the U.S. real estate industry. REIT earnings season was surprisingly strong across nearly all property sectors. ...
Summary Almost half of the option contracts being traded on the S&P 500, to the tune of $300 billion of notional each day, have one-day expiries or less. Across all listed ETFs and indices, an astounding $1 trillion of notional value in put options (bets that an index or ETF w...
Summary The fact that pension funds have allocated significant member capital to this madness reveals a dereliction of duty and the speculative madness that was. From March 2020 through March 2022, some 40% of purchases in Canada and the US were bought as second homes for investme...
Summary Mortgage rates have not been this high since before the housing crisis. And while the housing market is slowing, prices are still high. Demand for homes may be softening, but until there is more supply on the market, prices may hold up somewhat. By Allison ...
Summary Recession is likely, but the unique characteristics of the previous pandemic-fueled recession wrung out many excesses. Inflation will come down, but not to the low levels experienced over the past few decades. Capital markets have re-priced assets in ways that create a...
Summary The recent recession as a result of the COVID-19 global pandemic caused a massive, but brief, jump in homeownership due to grossly reduced spending. The Census Bureau has been tracking the non-seasonally adjusted data since 1965. Their seasonally adjusted version only goes...
Summary After taking a breather last month, the affordability of the typical new home sold in the U.S. nose-dived in September 2022. At an initial estimate of 43.6% for September 2022's median household income, the cost of owning a typical new home has never been higher for a typi...
Summary Halloween is a scary time, and the stock market has experienced a frightening 2022 as well. Given the horrific -19% decline in the stock market (S&P 500 index) this year, arguably much of the current and future dreadful news is already expected and discounted into toda...
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2024-07-12 10:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-02 11:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-31 21:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...