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Summary Falling wages reduce the odds of a 1970s style outcome. The biggest lesson for me was the sheer uncertainty of the future. We keep threatening to default on ourselves over a self-imposed constraint that doesn’t actually constrain anything. Here are some thin...
--News Direct-- Universities expect a lot from students. Getting a degree takes a lot of time, hard work, and requires the completion of many projects and writing. Being a student is a full time job for every class, and some of these classes are structured expecting that each student will ded...
Summary The long-term leading indicators of growth and liquidity suggest corporate earnings and profit margins will continue to be pressured throughout 2023. However, as the lags from leading indicators tend to be long and variable, we may not see a material impact in earnings growth un...
Summary Financial conditions indicators are flashing risk embracement and loose conditions. Markets have been so speculative in recent years that squeezes have become commonplace. While powerful squeezes captivate the marketplace, potential accident catalysts make steady headway. ...
Summary Since October 13, 2022, the S&P 500 Index is up 11.80% on a price only basis. For the start of 2023, the S&P 500 Index is up 4.16% through January 13, 2023. As we noted in our recently published Winter Investor Letter, maybe the negativity around the market/economy is ov...
Summary The Federal Government ran a deficit of -$85B in December. While this was much smaller than the deficit posted in November, it marks one of the largest December deficits ever. Zooming out and looking over the history of the budget back to 1980 shows a complete picture. It shows ...
--News Direct-- The best thing that could happen to any student definitely has to be help with writing an essay. Think about it, once you have someone who consistently helps out with ensuring you have a remarkable grade in your essays, then you have sorted out a large portion of your academic...
Summary Stocks have rallied to start the year due to financial conditions easing. The Fed, to this point, has been unable to convince the markets of its commitment to raise rates. Vice-Chair Lael Brainard speaks this week and could be personified to reset market expectations. ...
Summary Markets may be underestimating the stickiness of inflation and central banks’ determination to beat it - and what that means for growth and corporate earnings potential. We favor fixed income and credit over equities, and investment grade over high yield. Should infla...
Summary The CPI cooled again in December driven by a massive fall in Energy prices. A big driver behind the fall in Energy prices has been the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Lower inflation is “good for gold” as the Fed can theoretically pull back on hikes. ...
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2024-07-02 13:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-22 00:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...