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It is the shadows that really matter . A big enough problem in them would affect pretty much everything, including far off, out-of-the-way places like Federal Funds. Thus, if we observe weird things going on there, we can infer more serious issues back where it does mean something. In 2013 ...
For some, like SA contributor Gary Gordon, the Fed is " Fooling Investors For A Third Time; " others, like conservative economist Greg Mankiw, sing the praise of the Fed : The nation’s central bank employs about 20,000 Americans. They monitor the economy, develop analyses to he...
Understanding The Economy: Where Are We Headed? In a recent research note, published about two months ago, I outlined why recession risk was low despite a decelerating economic environment. I made this assessment based on my four-factor coincident index which was constructed based o...
It has been important to pay attention to the bond market over the past two years or so because a lot of what is going on in the investment world is impacting bond yields. In was, in fact, in December 2017 that I first called attention to the role the bond market might play in 2018 ... an...
Can the US Government Just Keep Piling on Debt? The government already owes over $22 trillion, and it's adding over $1 trillion a year. Who is buying it, and why? (12 min). Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha Read more ...
You read the headlines, "The Markets are going to Hell," and "The Markets will be down 30% by Year-End" and "We are entering a Recession" and all of the rest of the dribble that comes floating along in the Press. Every time I see this stuff my eyes bob up and down and I stare at the ceiling. N...
Welcome to this week's Market Wrap Podcast, I'm Mike Gleason. Coming up the one and only Marc Faber joins me for a tremendous conversation on debt, the global economy and the future of the dollar. Marc tells us how much he believes the average investor should have in gold and silver rig...
(This is an updated and rewritten version of a post I wrote about seven months ago.) I've mentioned the demand for money countless times in the 10-yr history of this blog because it's a very important and under-appreciated macro variable. The Fed controls the supply of money, but the deman...
By Pater Tenebrarum Money Supply Growth Continues to Falter Ostensibly the stock market has rallied because the Fed promised to maintain an easy monetary policy. To be sure, interest rate hikes have been put on hold for the time being and the balance sheet contraction (a.k.a."quantitativ...
By Scott Krauthamerax In recent weeks, the US yield curve has been making investors nervous again. The curve has inverted before each of the last seven recessions, and it did so again on March 22. But what does an inversion really mean for equity returns? The yield curve simply tracks ho...
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Reduction of Capital EASTLEIGH, UK / ACCESSWIRE / March 11, 2024 / i3 Energy plc ("i3", "i3 Energy", or the "Company") (AIM:I3E)(TSX:ITE), an independent oil and gas company with assets and operations in the UK and Canada, announces that a Notice of General Meeting (the "Circular" ) will be...
EASTLEIGH, ENGLAND / ACCESSWIRE / November 13, 2023 / i3 Energy plc (AIM:I3E)(TSX:ITE) ("i3", "i3 Energy", or the "Company"), an independent oil and gas company with assets and operations in the UK and Canada, announces that the court order cancelling i3 Energy's share premium account and the as...
GENERAL TEXT AMENDMENT The following amendment has been made to the ' LTIP Share Option and Cash Pool Awards ' announcement released on 10 November 2023 at 07:00 under RNS No 0724T. The vesting conditions for the UK options have been updated. All other details remain unchanged. ...