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The yield curve still seems to be following the bearish timeline. My axioms here are: 1) The true measure of inversion isn't a slope of zero. At the zero lower bound, it is a slope of a little more than 1% (10 year minus Fed Funds), which declines as the base yield rises. (At about 5%, meani...
By James Ong, Director, Derivative Portfolio Management As expected, the Federal Reserve (Fed) cut the federal funds rate band by 25 basis points from 1.75%-2.00% to 1.50%-1.75%. 1 Changes in the text of the Federal Open Market Committee statement, as well as information provi...
Cardiff Garcia : Hey, everybody. My name is Cardiff Garcia, and I'm the co-host of a podcast called The Indicator from Planet Money . I have seized the reigns just for this episode, because David himself is going to be in the hot seat. He's here with me in the studio right now. David, welc...
David Beckworth : Our guest today is Frances Coppola. Frances is a former banker, financial writer, and an author of a recent book called The Case for People's Quantitative Easing . Frances joins us today to discuss this book. Frances, welcome to the show. Frances Coppola : Hello there. ...
It's no longer just me using terms like "Armageddon, crisis, devastating, chaos, Great Depression;" it's leaders of the world's most august and conservative central banks. The big banking squeeze that began in September never went away. In fact, repo auctions last week looked worse than ever...
Since 2016, the US monetary base has declined by about 23.68%. This is the deepest and longest decline since the Federal Reserve was formed. This should not be ignored. The last time there was a decline close to this magnitude, there was a sharp deflationary recession. That was the one that ...
The second most frustrating aspect of trying to analyze global shadow money is how the term "shadow" really applies in this case. It's not really because banks are being sneaky, desperately maintaining their cover for any number of illicit activities they are regularly accused of undertaking. ...
Following a series of repurchase operations that were supposed to be temporary, last week Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell apparently felt that the liquidity issue had not yet been solved. As he said , "Indeed, my colleagues and I will soon announce measures to add to the supply of ...
Measuring The Backup In Interest Rates - Is This 2016? Since early September, after enjoying a historic rally, long-term Treasury rates have become increasingly volatile, rising nearly 30 basis points on the benchmark 30-year yield. Before deconstructing the move higher in Treasury rates,...
Editor's note: Originally published at tsi-blog.com on Oct. 15, 2019 We regularly look at what's happening with monetary inflation around the world, but today we'll focus exclusively on the US monetary inflation rate. This is because of the recent evidence that the unusually-lo...
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2024-06-22 15:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-12 02:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-02 07:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...